Boxing Picks: Arbitrage Available for Wilder-Ortiz WBC Title Fight

Jason Lake

Tuesday, February 27, 2018 12:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 27, 2018 12:21 PM UTC

Deontay Wilder has yet to lose as a pro – but just in case he loses to Luis Ortiz this Saturday, you can protect yourself by betting both sides of the boxing odds.

Deontay Wilder vs. Luis OrtizFree Boxing Pick: Wilder –285; Ortiz +290Best Lines Available: Sports Interaction; 5Dimes

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Stack ‘em, pack ‘em and rack ‘em. We cashed in another winner in the ring last week; Srisaket Sor Rungvisai defeated Juan Francisco Estrada by majority decision in an entertaining super flyweight fight, retaining his WBC title and cashing in as high as +150 on the boxing odds board. But we’re not entirely satisfied with our Process here at the home office. With all that Mexican money coming in late on Estrada, and sports betting verboten in Thailand, we should have recommended waiting until closer to bell time rather than picking Sor Rungvisai at +115.

No need to split hairs over this Saturday’s boxing picks. The WBC heavyweight title will be on the line when champion Deontay Wilder faces challenger Luis Ortiz at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Showtime has the coverage starting at 9 p.m. Eastern; at press time, there’s just enough variance with the fight odds to make an arbitrage play and bet both sides. Who wants some free money?

Love and a .45

OK, it’s a tiny amount of money, but it’s free. Wilder (39-0, 38 KOs), who has reigned quietly as WBC champ for over three years and six title defenses, is available as low as –285 at Sports Interaction. Ortiz (28-0, 2 NC, 24 KOs) is a +290 underdog at multiple books, including 5Dimes. Put those two prices in our SBR Arbitrage Calculator, and voilà: A bet of $34.64 on Wilder and $134.64 on Ortiz will secure you a profit of 45 cents, or 0.33 percent – unless they fight to a draw, of course.

If this window of opportunity has closed before you read this, or if you don’t have the bankroll to crank up those bet sizes and turn that 45 cents into, say, $45, Saturday’s fight looks close enough on paper to give the underdog a shot. Wilder is the No. 2-ranked heavyweight behind Anthony Joshua at The Ring and No. 3 at BoxRec; Ortiz is No. 5 at The Ring and No. 4 at BoxRec. But there’s a gaping chasm between Joshua and the rest of the division. Pound-for-pound, Wilder checks in at No. 63 on the BoxRec charts, just four spots ahead of Ortiz.

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Luis Ortiz is taking no prisoners in camp with 3 sparring partners not returning during sessions leading up to his fight with Deontay Wilder on March 3rd.

Ortiz is the lightest he’s been in the professional ranks weighing 226lbs (16st 1lbs) & looking razor sharp. #boxingkingdom

— Boxing Kingdom (@BoxingKingdomI4) February 19, 2018

There are a couple of problems with Ortiz, though. Wilder is six years younger at age 32 and three inches taller at 6-foot-7. Plus, rumor has it that Ortiz is actually much older than 38; if you’re familiar with the way certain Cuban baseball prospects have lied about their age to secure better MLB contracts, that’s what might be happening within the Ortiz camp. Just take the arbitrage if it’s worth your time, and may the squared circle be with you.

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