Boxing Odds: What Will Bradley's Method Of Victory Be Against Pacquiao?

Jason Lake

Tuesday, March 29, 2016 7:07 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 29, 2016 7:07 PM UTC

The boxing odds favor Manny Pacquiao to win what could be his last match, on April 9 against Timothy Bradley, Jr. Will it be yet another decision victory for Pac-Man?

Manny Pacquiao has fought 419 rounds as a professional boxer. He'll add at least one more round to that total on April 9, when he fights Timothy Bradley, Jr. for the third time at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas. And then Pacquiao says he's done. He'll be running for a seat in the Senate of the Philippines this May, and given his godlike status back home, it's pretty much a deadbolt-lock that Pacquiao will win.

But will he win on April 9? And if so, how will Pacquiao get the job done? For that matter, what's Bradley's path to victory? If you think you have the answer, boxing odds are available on the props market for Pacquiao-Bradley III. Let's see if we can rustle up some betting value on Pac-Man before he eats his last power pill.

Over the Shoulder
In case you missed it, we've already recommended OVER 10.5 (–340) for your boxing picks; that's in reference to how long this 12-round fight is going to last. Both men have won the vast majority of their bouts by decision. Pacquiao (57-6-2, 38 KOs) almost never gets knocked out. Bradley (33-1-1, 1 NC, 13 KOs) only has the one loss to Pacquiao on his ledger, and that was via unanimous decision.

Given what's happened up until now, perhaps we should expect yet another decision victory for Pacquiao. That fight outcome is available as low as –125 as we go to press. It's a bargain compared to the lowest price of –232 for Pac-Man to win outright. However, maybe we're past the point where we can expect history to repeat itself. Pacquiao is 37 years old, and coming off that torn rotator cuff he suffered before losing to Floyd Mayweather, Jr. last May.


Hit the Floor
Meanwhile, the 32-year-old Bradley appears to be a better fighter than he was the first two times he faced Pacquiao. In our humble opinion, he gave Pac-Man a stronger challenge in their 2014 fight, even though Bradley “won” their first meeting in 2012 by a split decision. Since then, Bradley has switched trainers from Joel Diaz to Teddy Atlas, and in his first bout with Atlas in his corner, Bradley knocked out Brandon Rios in the ninth to retain the WBO World Welterweight title.

There are differing opinions over whether Atlas is a plus or a minus for Bradley. A lot of the negative criticism appears to be emotional in nature; perhaps Bradley is still being tried in public for that highly-debatable decision over Pacquiao. Staring at the CompuBox numbers might not help us solve this puzzle, but if the betting public isn't buying Bradley, maybe we should. Our colleague Swinging Johnson is definitely on board. Let's make a speculative "hedge bet" on Bradley winning by KO/TKO/DQ, and may the squared circle be with you.

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Free Boxing Pick: Timothy Bradley by KO/TKO/DQ 
Best Line Offered: at Bodog


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