Boxing Odds Update: Bradley +220 To Beat Pacquiao This Saturday

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, March 22, 2016 3:28 PM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 22, 2016 3:28 PM UTC

April 9th at the MGM in Las Vegas is the place and time for the third meeting  between these two fighters. Let’s review the boxing odds and see where the public, as well as the sharps, are moving the money.

PPV Disinterest?
This will be the third fight in the trilogy between these elite competitors with Timothy Bradley gaining a highly controversial decision in their first fight while Pacquiao won the second convincingly. You would tend to believe that a fighter with the drawing power of Manny Pacquiao would guarantee hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of pay-per-view buys. Pacquiao’s epic title fight with Floyd Mayweather did 4.4 million PPV buys and disappointed each and every one.

Pacquiao’s lackluster performance in his loss to Mayweather only served to tarnish his star power and his post-fight comments that he entered the fight with an injured shoulder only exacerbated the frustration and incredulity of those who spent their hard earned money on a 12-round snooze job. In addition, Pacquiao was the true victor in both fights despite losing the first on the judge’s scorecards. Engaging in a third match almost seems like a “been there, done that” exercise in futility. Asking people to pony up more dough for a Manny Pacquiao event less than a year removed from the fleecing they took in his previous fight, and at the same venue no less, seems a bit much to buy (pun intended).

The promoters would have been better off having negotiated a fight with Shawn Porter or Keith Thurman, two elite fighters with whom Pacquiao has no history. Pacquiao is the draw, with the notable exception of Mayweather, regardless of who he fights but his stock has dropped and so has the widespread interest. All this means is that there will be substantially less action flowing into the bookmakers, and as a result, the boxing props and outright odds in this one may see less volatility.


Boxing Odds
The boxing odds makers have hung a line on this one that has moved only slightly since the match was announced. Manny Pacquiao was designated as a -275 favorite with a return of +215 on Bradley. But as the fight approaches the line has tumbled a bit with most offshore shops offering a marginally more palatable -250 on the favorite Pacquiao. This is a result of the public digesting the fact that Manny is now 37-years-old and with the shoulder surgery having occurred so late in his career, may not respond to the withering assault he is likely to see from an emboldened Timothy Bradley. Yes, Bradley will come into this fight with Teddy Atlas in his corner after dumping longtime trainer and confidante Joel Diaz.

If this fight is anything like his last when bradley dusted Brandon Rios in the ninth round of their scheduled 12-rounder back in November then we will be looking at a different fighter than the one that previously faced Pacquiao. Teddy Atlas was in his corner in the Rios fight and Bradley looked crisper and more accurate than he had in the past. Trainers Teddy Atlas and Freddy Roach (Pacquiao’s trainer) have had a stormy history therefore there will be a big ax to grind for Atlas as he gets Bradley ready to send Manny into retirement. Don’t overlook the underdog in this one as nobody is really sure what Manny Pacquiao will show up for what is likely the final fight in his storied career. Timothy Bradley is one live dog that will prove he’s got an even bigger bite than his bark so be sure to include him your boxing picks come April 9th in Sin City.

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Free Boxing Pick: Timothy Bradley +220
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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