Boxing Odds: Round Betting Predictions On Bradley vs. Pacquiao

Jason Lake

Wednesday, March 30, 2016 7:14 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 30, 2016 7:14 PM UTC

With just over a week to go before the big fight in Vegas, the boxing odds are starting to flow for Bradley-Pacquiao III. Which round will they reach before it's over?

It's time to delve a little deeper into the big April 9 fight between Manny Pacquiao and Timothy Bradley, Jr. Our look at the boxing odds available on the props market began with the over/under on rounds; we picked OVER 10.5 (–347) here at the ranch. Then we recommended a flyer on Bradley at +600 to win by KO/TKO/DQ. Call it a hedge bet, or perhaps they'll both cash in for us. It could happen.

Of course, if we were feeling extra-frisky about Bradley securing a late-round victory, we could aim for a much larger payout with our boxing picks. Check out the Total Rounds section of the Bradley-Pacquiao props market; it's like roulette for sports fans. You can bet on the fight ending in an even or odd round, or you can bet on something more narrow, like Bradley winning in the 10th round or later (+2500).


The Dozens
Before we wade in too deep, a clarification: This fight has to end within the distance for the late-round bets to cash in. For example, Pacquiao is priced at +4000 to win this bout in Round 12. Not after Round 12; Pac-Man is favored as high as –138 to win by decision. Make sure to wrap your head around that before placing your bets.

It will also behoove you to apply some logic when you're surfing the props market for Bradley-Pacquiao III. Take that odd/even bet, for example. It's a 12-round fight, so there are six odd-numbered rounds and six even-numbered rounds. But the fight starts with Round 1. That means it has to be more likely for this bout to end in an odd-numbered round if it doesn't go the distance. ODD is available at +496, compared to +504 for EVEN. Not much of a premium there.


3-Minute Warning
Granted, this fight is very likely to go the full 12 rounds, so you'd expect those odds to converge somewhat. In theory, you can bet on whether this fight will end within the first six rounds, four rounds, three rounds, or specifically in the first round, but all those possible wagers are off the board as we go to press. If you're gung-ho about betting on a flash knockout in the first round, you can pick either Bradley (+8000) or Pacquiao (+5000) to do the honors.

As with any prop bets for a relatively big public spectacle like this, we highly recommend making very small wagers, and mostly for entertainment purposes. The over/under on rounds isn't terribly exotic; picking exact rounds is. Having said that, if you want to hedge that over/under bet a little more, you can get paid out at +449 if this fight ends in Round 7-12. We'll buy that for a dollar.

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Free Boxing Pick: Fight Ends in Round 7-12 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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