Boxing Odds: Potential Pacquiao-Mayweather Rematch in 2016

Jason Lake

Thursday, August 13, 2015 7:16 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 13, 2015 7:16 PM GMT

While we're making our boxing picks for Floyd Mayweather vs. Andre Berto, we'll be closing our eyes and fantasizing about a rematch between Mayweather and Manny Pacquiao.

This can't possibly be the end, can it? Floyd Mayweather, Jr. continues to insist that he'll hang up the gloves after his Sept. 12 fight with Andre Berto. This figures to be an anti-climactic ending to Mayweather's career; he's as big as a –10000 favorite on the boxing odds board as we go to press. But it's the last fight on Mayweather's contract with Showtime, he's 38 years old, and there's no mountain left for him to climb inside a boxing ring. Many fans would be just as happy to see Mayweather go away.

Really, though, does anyone believe for a moment that Mayweather is being genuine? If there's one thing he ever talks about that we can trust, it's money. And there's a big pile of money waiting around the corner for Mayweather. The new Las Vegas Arena (formerly the MGM-AEG Arena) will be opening next April, with room for 20,000 boxing fans. Imagine how quickly that venue would fill up to see Mayweather go for 50-0, especially if it's against a decent opponent this time.

 

Cuff the Duke
Naturally, we're talking about Manny Pacquiao. Their last fight didn't do very well from a competitive standpoint, but it certainly drew money – probably more than any other fight in history adjusted for inflation, with Mayweather reportedly pocketing over $200 million. That's a spicy meatball. Before that bout took place, the boxing odds for a rematch were 2-1, and we speculated that it would take place, provided Mayweather wasn't serious about retiring.

As it turned out, the events of May 2 just make it easier for this matchup to happen. It was revealed after the fight that Pacquiao had suffered a torn rotator cuff in his right shoulder during training camp, then re-injured his shoulder during the fourth round. That's all the explanation Pacquiao fans need for why their hero couldn't get through Mayweather's lockdown defense.

 

Big in Japan
That doesn't necessarily mean people will pony up another $100 to see the rematch on PPV. But here at the ranch, we completely whiffed when we took the UNDER (+170) on 3.15 million buys, missing by about a million viewers or so. Surely Mayweather would generate another nine-figure payday by having another go at Pacquiao. Putting this bout in the new arena would give it even more marquee value.

Pacquiao has already started angling for a rematch. In an interview in Japan earlier this month, Pac-Man said his shoulder was fully healed, and that he looked forward to facing Mayweather again in 2016. He even took it easy on Mayweather for choosing Berto, saying that it would be a “good fight.” That's a master politician at work right there. We've been back and forth about this potential rematch, but if you bought in when the boxing odds were 2-1, it'll be well worth the wait.

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