Thurman vs. Pacquiao: One Time Too Much

Thurman vs. Pacquiao: One Time Too Much

Manny Pacquiao (61-7-2, 39 KO’s) vs. Keith Thurman (29-0, 22 KO’s)

Fight Time: Saturday, 10:00 PM ET on PPV

Free Boxing Pick: Keith Thurman

Best Line Offered: BetOnline

Tale of the Tape

Manny Pacquiao

  • Wins: 61
  • Lost: 7
  • KOs: 39
  • Draws: 2
  • Total Bouts: 70
  • KO%: 56%
  • Height: 5’6″
  • Reach: 67″

Keith Thurman

  • Wins: 29
  • Lost: 0
  • KOs: 22
  • Draws: 0
  • Total Bouts: 29
  • KO%: 76%
  • Height: 5’9″
  • Reach: 69″

Southpaw Stance Orthodox

Manny Pacquiao is back in the ring to take another swing…this time at reigning WBA Super Welterweight champion Keith “One Time’ Thurman. The last time Pac-Man entered the squared circle, in January of this year, he outpointed Adrien Broner in a 12-round unanimous decision. It was his first win at the age of 40 and despite the fact he is thick in the throes of middle-age, Pacquiao has proven over his last pair of fights that he can still deliver lightning-quick combinations. However, his tenacity and ability to sustain those drives is not what it once was, which could be the opening for a big bopper like Keith Thurman.

Speaking of Thurman, the reigning WBA Super Welterweight champ has 22 KO’s to his credit in 29 fights but his last two have come by way of split and majority decisions. As Thurman faces stiffer and more lethal competition, his ability to take control of his fights has been usurped by the talent staring across the ring. But boxing is a violent blend of art and science which is borne of relentless training and hard lessons learned inside the ring. Thurman carries a big punch in the 147 class and that jaw-dropping power can turn the lights out in a flash. But in order to stymie the withering attack of a master like Pacquiao those heavy hits need to find a home, because if not, Thurman will be expending mountains of energy to flail at a disappearing target.

The boxing odds from all the best online sportsbooks have Pacquiao as ranging from a -140 to -145 favorite depending on where you shop. That’s not particularly surprising due to his immaculate pedigree and the performance he recently delivered against Adrian Broner. However, both Broner and Pacquiao’s previously vanquished opponent, Lucas Matthysse, both checked in at 5’6′ tall while Australian Jeff Horn, the last man to defeat Pacquiao, via unanimous decision, used his 5’9′ frame to keep Pac-Man at bay to control the pace and tempo of the fight.

Let’s not forget that Thurman, at 5’9′ himself, and with a two and a half reach advantage over Pacquiao, had not thrown a punch in anger in almost two years before his last fight when he scored a unanimous decision over Josesito López. One Time faced a brawler in Lopez but now he will get a tactician in Pacquiao which will make delivering his staggering blows much more difficult. However, when his punches do meet their mark, it could be difficult for Pacquiao to gather himself and win on points. Pac-Man no longer has the devastating power that made him such a lethal threat in his halcyon days but much like his legendary contemporary, Floyd Mayweather, his matches have taken on the appearance of fencing matches, parrying countered by surgical rat-a-tat-tats. Thurman is 10 years younger than Pacquiao and with a three-inch height advantage and a reach nearly three inches longer, I say the underdog will prevail and score a knockout somewhere in the eighth round. Include Keith “One Time’ Thurman in your boxing picks on Saturday night.

Prediction: Thurman by KO 8th round