Bowyer Could Have Enough Energy for NASCAR Victory at Michigan

David Schwab

Wednesday, August 8, 2018 2:49 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 8, 2018 2:49 PM UTC

NASCAR’s Monster Energy’s Cup Series returns to Michigan International Speedway for the season's second point-race event at this venue, the Consumers Energy 400 on Sunday (2:30 p.m. ET; NBCSN).

The betting odds to win Sunday’s Cup Series event at Michigan International Speedway have been released by online sportsbook 5Dimes. After digging deep into the numbers, the following three drivers would be my top-valued picks for a favorite, contender and longshot to win this race.

Top-Valued Favorite: Kyle Busch +450

Of the three drivers at the top of the current Cup Series standings (Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. included), Busch has been the most consistent of late with four straight finishes of fourth or better. This includes the No. 18 Toyota’s recent victory at Pocono two weeks ago. He is tied with Harvick for total point-race wins at six and he has a 60-point lead over his closest rival with 934 total points. With 16 total runs inside the top five through 22 point events along with a total of 1,067 laps led, it is safe to say Busch will be right in the mix for win No. 7 on Sunday.

Adding even more value to his odds to win as a +450 second-favorite is his fourth-place run at Michigan in June. His last victory in this week’s event was in 2011.

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Hanging w the team from @TooToughToTame doing a little Go-Kart racing with #Southern500 contest winners. Check out my Instagram Story for more. 🏁

— Kyle Busch (@KyleBusch) August 7, 2018

Top-Valued Contender: Clint Bowyer +1500

Lost in the shuffle of the top three drivers winning a combined 16 point-race events this season is the fact that Bowyer joins that list as one of only four drivers with multiple Cup Series victories this season. He has raced his No. 14 Ford into fifth place in the standings with a total of 703 points on the strength of those two wins and four other runs inside the top five. Bowyer has been rather quiet for most of the summer with five straight finishes outside the top 10, but his overall body of work adds value to his odds.

The main reason I am going with Bowyer at Michigan is a chance to sweep the season series at this venue. After taking the checkered flag at Martinsville early in the season, the veteran Cup Series driver proved his elevated performance this season was not a fluke with a victory at this track on June 10.

Top-Valued Longshot: Daniel Suarez +8800

I went with Suarez as my top-valued longshot last Sunday at Watkins Glen at +4000 betting odds, and he made things very interesting with a fourth-place finish. With even longer odds to win this race, I am sticking with Suarez again as my top-valued longshot. Including Sunday’s race, there are just four more races on the schedule until the start of this year’s playoff to the racing title.

Right now his No. 19 Toyota is 18th in the standings, just 27 points out of a spot in the 16-driver field. With back-to-back top-five finishes at Pocono and last week’s race, this team is moving in the right direction with a highly motivated driver behind the wheel.

Betting Odds for Other Notable Drivers

Harvick is the favorite to win this race at +285, and Truex Jr. joins Busch as a +450 second-favorite. Kyle Larson won this event last year and his odds for the repeat are +850. Chase Elliott’s odds to pull off back-to-back victories are +1350, and Brad Keselowski joins Bowyer at +1500 odds to win this race.

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