Betting Wimbledon Final: Djokovic vs. Federer

Nikki Adams

Saturday, July 11, 2015 2:36 PM UTC

Saturday, Jul. 11, 2015 2:36 PM UTC

Federer and Djokovic set up a dream final at the Wimbledon Championships, marking a repeat of their epic showdown in 2014 which Djokovic won in five sets. Will Federer triumph this time around? 

Sublime Federer
Roger Federer beat the tennis odds on Friday, coming through as the +100 tennis pick in a straight set win over home and odds makers' favorite Andy Murray. Channelling the sublime tennis of his heyday, the other worldly sort that lifted him to 17 Grand Slam titles in 25 final appearances, Federer outclassed Murray in a 7-5, 7-5, 6-4 victory.

By the score line, it was a close match. Britain's No.1 didn't play badly at all, but he just couldn't live with Federer on the day. We'd wager nobody would have been able to either. He was just that untouchable.

In beating Murray, Federer sets up a final with odds-on favorite Novak Djokovic. The Serbian enters the final as the defending champion and the player to beat. He's held this honor in pre-tournament tennis betting markets. Heck, since the start of the 2015 season, a market evaluation based on his strong finish to 2014.

Having beaten the tennis odds to reach the final, Federer will have to do it again if he's to win on Sunday and claim his record 18th Grand Slam title. As it is, he's trading at +110 to win the match, which has to be a steal tennis pick all things being considered.


Roger Federer Wimbledon Final Odds
To win match +110
To win first set +100
To win 3-0 +400
To win 3-1 +400
To win 3-2 +550


Djokovic The Player To Beat
Djokovic advances into the final behind a convincing win over Richard Gasquet. The Frenchman was simply overwhelmed by the Serbian starlet in straight sets, although few can be surprised considering the amount of court time he'd clocked in the lead up to the semis, including his epic , five-set win over Stanislas Wawrinka in the quarterfinals.

Browse All Available 2015 Wimbledon Betting Props

Novak Djokovic Wimbledon Final Odds
To win match -125
To win first set -138
To win 3-0 +300
To win 3-1 +350
To win 3-2 +500

Aside from a minor hiccup in the R16, when Djokovic was forced to comeback from two sets down to Kevin Anderson, he's been relatively untroubled over the course of the fortnight. He comes into the final, therefore, brimming with confidence.


Wimbledon Final Odds
Over 3.5 Sets -225/ Under 3.5 Sets +163
Over 43.5 Games -125/ Under 43.5 Games -110


Roger Federer vs. Novak Djokovic
To begin with, it's a repeat of last year's final that went five sets., and a final between the World No.1 and World No.2 player. However, for Federer this final represents a potential 18th Grand Slam title and a record 8th Wimbledon title. For Djokovic, it's an opportunity to successfully defend his Wimbledon title for a second straight season and win his third overall Wimby. That's incentive on both sides of the coin, making this, once again, a match that is tough to handicap.


All Hail The King of Grass.
Throughout Federer's entire career, he was the quintessential grass-court player, the indisputable King of Grass in the eye of tennis bettors and experts, alike. One has to consider the way Federer's been playing at these Championships, he's got form: dropped just one set in six games. (In the lead up to Wimbledon, he won Halle.) Most importantly, if he brings to court the sort of form he showed in the semis, we'd wager not even Djokovic will have an answer.

Djokovic does have form this season. Overall, he's ahead of the curve, head-and-shoulders above the rest of the field in terms of titles and win-loss record. Yet, he's not been challenged at these championships (save by Anderson). Plus, he recently lost the French Open final to Wawrinka, all while matched as the bookies' hefty favorite. That could play on his mind.

Head-to-head, Federer has the slim edge over Djokovic with a 20-19 record. In 2015, Federer holds a 1-2 record against Djokovic, having won the Dubai final imperiously before succumbing in Indian Wells and Rome.

Tennis Betting Verdict: There are plenty angles for profit on this final and popular betting is split down the middle between these two great champions. Djokovic is a sound tennis pick, but Federer is a steal tennis pick in our books.

For our money, we're leaning towards Federer to pull off the win. It seems fitting that he should win his 18th Grand Slam title on his beloved grass. He had a crack at it last season, but it slipped through his fingers as he conspicuously ran out of steam in the fifth and final set. He's got a second crack at it on Sunday. And the way he's been playing, he really does have a shot at pulling it off. Watch if he doesn't do it in straight sets too, a prop tennis pick at trading at +400.

Tennis Picks: Federer at +110

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