Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks: ATP Montpellier, Sofia & Quito

Gael Monfils clay

João Mourato

Tuesday, February 6, 2018 7:12 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 6, 2018 7:12 PM UTC

Join our expert tennis capper for his tennis betting analysis for the ATP Montpellier, Sofia and Quito. Find out the most valuable lines for this week's action on the ATP World Tour.

ATP Montpellier – All-French Affair

Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Kenny De Schepper will fight this Wednesday for a place in the second round of the Open Sud de France in Marseille. Playing on this event brings great memories to De Schepper after reaching the quarterfinals in 2017 as a qualifier. Adding to this, Kenny reaches this stage of the competition after two victories on the qualifying against Matteo Donati and Jaume Munar. On the other hand, Herbert is one of the best serve & volley players on the ATP World Tour with an impressive 64.02% career record on these game conditions.

Taking a look now at the odds for this contest, the sportsbooks expect a close encounter with de Schepper as the slight favorite at -125 at 5Dimes while Pinnacle offers +110 for Pierre’s victory. Even though we understand Kenny’s favoritism after playing already two matches on this event, it’s impossible to ignore Herbert’s 3 – 0 lead on the h2h. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to add Herbert to your betting picks as the best betting approach for this match.

ATP Sofia – Player to Fade

The three-time Grand Slam champion Stan Wawrinka accepted a wildcard for the Sofia Open after Grigor Dimitrov’s withdrawal due to a shoulder injury. Despite his undeniable quality, the former world No.3 looked rusty on his Australian Open campaign with a straight-sets defeat against Tennys Sandgren in the second round.

Taking a look now at Stan’s draw in Sofia, the 32-year-old won’t have an easy task against Martin Klizan on his debut. Known as one of the most unpredictable players in the game, the Slovak holds an incredible 80.00% career record on this event. Therefore, our advice is for you to fade Wawrinka in Sofia, starting with Klizan at +171 at Pinnacle.

ATP Quito – Main Contender

Gael Monfils will make his first ever apperance in South America for the “Golden Swing”. The 31-year-old is scheduled to compete at the Ecuador Open in Quito, the Argentina Open in Buenos Aires, the Rio Open and also the Brazil Open in Sao Paulo. Known as one of the greatest athletes of all time, Monfils holds an outstanding 65.44% winning record throughout his career on red dirt. On the other hand, the Frenchman couldn’t have asked for a better start to 2018 after winning his 7th title on the ATP World Tour at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open in Doha.

The No.3 seed starts his campaign in Quito against NextGen ATP Casper Ruud. The 19-year-old didn’t experience any major problems on his debut with a straight-set victory over Carlos Berlocq. Despite Ruud’s undeniable quality, it won’t be easy for the Norwegian to overcome such a great athlete as Monfils. Adding to this, Gael didn’t drop a single set on his previous two meetings against the highest ranked player on his half of the draw – Albert Ramos-Vinolas. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Gael’s tennis betting odds by placing a small stake on the French to lift the trophy in Quito at +400 at William Hill.

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