#Betting101: UFC Making History in China on Saturday

Jason Lake

Wednesday, November 22, 2017 2:36 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2017 2:36 PM UTC

Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 122 card marks the promotion’s first trip to mainland China, after three stops in Macau. It’s going to be a special day for our UFC picks as well.

That was more like it. As expected, Bec Rawlings and Jessy Rose-Clark went the full three rounds in last week’s co-main event at UFC Fight Night 121. Rose-Clark earned the split decision, although she also missed weight; we got paid with OVER 2.5 (–250) in our UFC picks. No bugs were eaten in the process.

From Australia, we move to Shanghai, where Fight Night 122 will take place Saturday on UFC Fight Pass. This is the UFC’s debut in mainland China, which means there will be plenty of Chinese talent on display. There are many different ways we can approach this card, but we’re looking specifically at the co-main event, featuring China’s Li Jingliang taking on Milwaukee’s own Zak Ottow in Welterweight action. One would assume Dana White and friends are putting Li in a position to succeed. Indeed, he’s a –170 favorite on the UFC odds board as we go to press, after opening at –158.

A Journey of 1,000 Steps Begins With a Single Li

Li (13-4 lifetime, 5-2 UFC) is definitely the more seasoned fighter of the two. He turned pro in 2007 and eventually became the Legend FC Welterweight champ before making his Octagon debut in 2014. Ottow (15-4 lifetime, 2-1 UFC) has been fighting since 2011 after playing college football at UW-Milwaukee.

Otherwise, there isn’t much separating these two gentlemen on paper. Both have brown belts in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu; Ottow also holds an orange belt in Taekwondo, while Li practiced wrestling and Sanshou (aka Chinese boxing) before taking up MMA. The two fighters are roughly the same size, Li being one year younger at age 29. There’s not much “clash” in this clash of styles.

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Li Jingliang v Zak Ottow is next weeks Co-main event. That is #52 v #58 in the current Welterweight MMA world rankings. Just gonna leave that there...#UFCShanghai

— AndyLovesMMA (@UpTheDarce) November 19, 2017

Which leaves us with two interesting options for our MMA picks. We could bet on Li, putting our confidence in his promotional "spot" and his body of work inside the Octagon – which includes back-to-back Fight of the Night honors in victories over Bobby Nash (+100) and Frank Camacho (+300). Or we could bet on these guys to go the distance, which is available at –150 on the UFC props board. We’ll go with the latter option; this bout could easily turn into a stalemate, and each of Ottow’s three UFC fights went to a split decision. We’d rather pocket the cash at the lower price than let the judges decide this one, even if they are fighting in Shanghai.

Free UFC Pick: Fight goes to decision (–150)Best Line Offered: 5Dimes
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