Bet the Under in West Ham vs. Swansea City Soccer Pick

Lee Phelps

Friday, December 5, 2014 7:04 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 5, 2014 7:04 PM GMT

Two teams vying for a top ten finish face each other this weekend at Upton Park. Our capper has been looking at the soccer odds for West Ham versus Everton and has come up with his betting picks.

Midweek winners and top ten rivals West Ham and Swansea go head to head at Upton Park this weekend, with confidence high and only two points between them this promises to be one of the games of the weekend.


West Ham
Having already played the likes of Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City, the Hammers have proved they can compete with the best sides in the division. Now they need to consistently pick up points against the team below them in the table.

I’ve talked about the impact Diafra Sakho and Enner Valencia have had on this West Ham side, but even without them, the form hasn’t completely fallen away. Sakho is nearing full fitness after picking up a back problem on international duty which rumour has it, was exacerbated by the medical provision he received during his time away.

Whilst the form has been okay, the goals scored has suffered with only one home goal in the last two matches in front of their own fans, so keep this in mind when making your soccer pick.

One player I haven’t mentioned is Stuart Downing. He has scored twice, but his assist stats, boosted by his perfectly weighted corner for James Tomkins to head home against West Brom in midweek, tell a much fuller story. In 13 games he has made five goal scoring assists and has attempted 32 shots. Ashley Williams and Co should be wary of this rejuvenated playmaker.


Swansea City
I was predicting the Swans would fall away, but there’s very little sign if it, and the good news is Leon Britton is back. Writing on the Swansea Way, Scott Mackay explained the impact Britton has:

“Leon makes us tick, and his positioning forces others to take up the right positions on the field. With Leon alongside Ki we're going to boss the midfield more often than not, and I firmly expect Monk to retain the two pass-masters at the base of our midfield for West Ham.

At attacking midfield though, Gylfi must surely need a rest. His work rate has been simply phenomenal, and while I'm sure he'd disagree it's almost certain he'd benefit from having a day off on Sunday. Shelvey didn't start against QPR, and I've always said he's more suited to playing in a position similar to Gylfi's, so it makes sense to me to start with a midfield of Leon, Ki & Shelvey. This would still be solid enough to retain possession, while Shelvey has often blossomed in that position, scoring some fine goals along the way - one at Fulham sticks out in my memory in particular.

To win, we must achieve certain things. Retain possession - play with Leon & Ki. Offer an attacking link between midfield and attack - Jonjo. Manage the threat posed by Carroll - Bartley & Ash. If we can keep a solid unit at the back, not get dragged out of shape, and manage Andy Carroll effectively, we can come away with all three points this weekend.”

You have to admire the confidence, but I don’t see Swansea winning here.


Soccer picks
Together with West Ham’s low scoring home stats and tights defence, Swansea’s four goal in two away games at the start of the season haven’t been equalled since with three scored in five trips. They have also kept clean sheets at Sunderland and Everton. If forced to pick a result I’d go for the draw on our soccer odds, but I’m going low on the goals here, presuming Sakho is missing again, or at least not fully fit. Under 1.5 is a big price at 5/2, but I’ll be more sensible and take under 2.5 at 5/6.


Free Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 goals 5/6

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