Bet 'Over' 23 as the Top Tennis Pick for ATP Tokyo Semifinals

João Mourato

Friday, October 9, 2015 4:26 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 9, 2015 4:26 PM UTC

The two top seeds are just one win away from the decisive match but they still need to overcome one last challenge this Saturday. Find out our ATP Tokyo’s semifinal tennis pick.

Stan Wawrinka (1) vs Gilles Muller
Gilles Muller hasn’t lost a set so far this week and pull off an upset win in quarterfinals against 3rd seed Gilles Simon, our player to keep an eye on this tournament.. Despite averaging only 53.86% first serve in this week, the player from Luxembourg is just one game away from the final.

Muller’s mental strength on break points has been the key for his success. So far he faced a total of 19 break points and was able to save 18 of those chances. On the other hand has converted 6 of 11 chances to break during the tournament.

With one of the easiest draws ever in an ATP 500 event, Stan Wawrinka reaches Tokyo’s semifinal without facing a top 100 player.

In this lower events Stan struggles with his focus but against Austin Krajicek in quarterfinals performed very consistently. Wawrinka ended the match with 20 winners, 13 unforced errors and wasn’t broken a single time in his 6 – 3 6 – 4 win over Krajicek.

Muller will try to avoid a third consecutive loss against Wawrinka, after two victories from the Suisse earlier this year.

This will be Wawrinka’s first real test against the World No. 43 and Muller has been outstanding on pressure points. One of the best indicators of a player confidence is the way he performs on pressure situations and Muller has played his best tennis on those points.

Wawrinka is moderate favorite for this event but this won’t be easy for him and Muller should be able to take this match into distance. There was a tie break in the two previous matches and with Muller so strong on serve the same should happen here.

We’ll take the value on Over tennis odds to our tennis picks for this close contest where Wawrinka might need three sets (with at least one tie break) to get the job done.

Tennis Pick: Over 23  at Pinnacle

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