Bet Manchester Utd. & Newcastle to Draw

Nila Amerova

Friday, December 6, 2013 7:20 PM GMT

Can Man U and David Moyes bounce back from a disastrous night at the Old Trafford in midweek action when they host Newcastle United on Saturday? Join us as we breakdown the soccer odds and deliver our choice soccer picks.

Everton stun Man U

Everton stunned Man U at the Old Trafford 1-0 on Wednesday night, on an exceptionally busy night in the Premier League. As we’d predicted (in case you’re interested) in our Man U vs. Everton piece earlier this week.

Just when it looked like Man U, undefeated in their last 12 matches across all competitions, were destined to inch closer to their rightful place atop the league, Everton stun the Red Devils at the Old Trafford, marking their first win on hallowed grounds since 1992.

Brian Oviedo – picking up a miscued shot from Romelu Lukaku that trickled unassumingly in front of the goal, pass several defenders caught marvelling at its adorable trundling gait – struck a late goal to lift Everton to their first victory in 20 years and simultaneously slam Man U with a fourth defeat on the season and David Moyes with many questions to answer.

To add insult to injury, all Man U’s rivals in the title race recorded victories on the night, a precipitous occasion that not only forced Man U down to ninth spot in the table but also down in market estimation as they now ring in at a whopping +2000 to win the Premier League this season at Bet365. Oh, how the mighty have fallen.

To be out of the title conversation ushers in a whole new nadir for Man U and their fans. But it’s not all bad news. Chin up all. Small consolation though it might be right now, but this is proving to be one of the most wide open seasons in recent years where anything can happen on a given weekend or midweek match. There’s everything to play for yet, lots of ground to cover still. Besides, Man U remains a strong -110 soccer pick to finish in the Top 4 this season, so it’s not all out panic mode just yet.

Moreover (read: happy news), Man U are installed as the firm runaway favourites for their upcoming bout with Newcastle United at the Old Trafford. Across the board, sportsbooks unanimously list Man U at -225 to win outright or thereabouts. It remains to be seen whether the odds makers have it right but Moyes certainly hopes so – some things must remain sacred – or else he might be subjected to the firing brigade of the Man U faithful for allowing back-to-back crimes to go unchecked against their beloved Red Devils.

Newcastle United suffer swan attack

Newcastle United swanned into Swansea on a four-game winning streak only to flit away with their tails firmly tucked in between their legs following a 3-0 defeat. Given that the Magpies had beaten the likes of Chelsea and Tottenham during their winning stretch, and built on that confidence with additional wins over Norwich and West Brom, the defeat at Swansea was a bit of a surprise.

If Newcastle United hope to show that that defeat was a mere hiccup rather than a costly defeat they’ll need to put in a meaningful performance at the Old Trafford, while at the same time start cooking up a strategy for an in-form Southampton the following week. To put it simply: they missed their best shot at three of precious nine points on offer. If they do go zero of nine, it could prove a sinkhole.

Unfortunately, sportsbooks (oh, ye of little faith) install the Magpies at rather large +600 soccer odds to win outright. Not an endorsement of their chances now is it. What’s more, even the draw is tipped large at +333. Of course, they did beat Chelsea and Tottenham and managed to hold Liverpool to a draw, which incidentally is no mean feat at home or on the away. So they might fancy their chances even if the soccer betting markets don’t.

Soccer Betting Verdict: Handicapping this match was just made all the more complicated by Man U’s stubborn persistence to confuse. Just when they appear to have gotten it together, they come up with a frustrating performance. Granted we did predict it but that was largely down to Everton’s form and in turn credibility as a threat. That doesn’t mean that we’ve got a handle on Man U at all. Will the real Man U please stand up?

Newcastle United is an entirely different story. They raised some eyebrows by being impressive but they’ve also raised some eyebrows by being just as confusing as Man U are this season. Case-and-point: defeat to Swansea. Which means banking on a Newcastle win at the Old Trafford is a much riskier enterprise than banking on an Everton win was, as evinced by their hefty soccer odds.

So for our recommendation, we are looking at the draw result at +333 or a Man U win at -225 but admittedly, the balance tips in favour of the former because Man U’s recent form – two draws and a defeat in domestics is nothing to fawn over.

Soccer Free Picks: Draw at +333; Over 2.5 at -163

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