Bet Draw for Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Premier League Matchup

Lee Phelps

Friday, August 22, 2014 7:17 AM GMT

I got Aston Villa wrong in Week One of the Premier League, I expected them to lose to Stoke and go down with a whimper. I also derided the signings of Kieron Richardson, who was man of the match and Philippe Senderos, who seems to have struck up a great partnership with ‘Concrete’ Ron Vlaar. They were fist-pumping and hugging like old friends.

Villa have quality in their ranks in Andreas Weimann, Gabby Agbonlahor and the fit again Charles N’Zogbia but I didn’t see them getting the chance to shine against Mark Hughes’ men. They have added Carlos Alberto – the Colombian defensive midfielder - to the squad this week, so more stability, as opposed to creativity.

Predicting 2014-15 Premier League Top Finishers

Villa have struck me as a better away team over recent years, because of the pace and the ability of their front men to take their chances, they lost as many at home as they did away last season, winning two more at Villa Park. Strangely they rarely backed up an away win with a home win the next time they played in front of their own fans. They don’t seem to be able to make the game. Of their six home wins two were against Chelsea and Manchester City in matches where the opposition made the game. One was in a 4-3 thriller against West Brom which was end to end.

Newcastle were plucky losers against Manchester City, impressing most but without any end product. Scoring will be their problem, without Loic Remy. I’ve detailed before how crucial his goals were. Emmanuel Riviere looked nervous and will be employed as a lone striker at Villa Park.

It’s not about the players for me, but about Alan Pardew. It hasn’t been an easy time for the Newcastle boss, with his disciplinary issues, but quietly they’ve been amassing a shocking record in 2014. Since the turn of the year they have played 20 games, drawn one, won five and lost 14. They have won only one of the last nine, so it’s time to start gathering points or at least a point. Add to that their away record in the run-in last season shows five straight defeats and only one goal (an own goal at Anfield).

One huge plus for the Magpies is Siem de Jong being very close to a competitive debut. I liked what I saw in Brazil and he scored in his first two pre-season friendlies before picking up an injury. If anyone wants a goal scorer bet in this match, he’d be my pick, playing just behind Riviere.

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I see Pardew stacking the midfield and adding to Villa’s issues breaking teams down and making the game. There is always the chance both sides can nick a goal, but I can’t see many, so I’m going for a draw and wouldn’t put anyone off a nil nil draw. My favourite bet would be the draw and under 2.5 goals.