Bet the Draw +240 as Bournemouth Hosts Aston Villa on Saturday

Nikki Adams

Friday, July 31, 2015 1:07 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 31, 2015 1:07 PM GMT

Tim Sherwood's side hit the road on match day 1 of Premier League, the exotic destination is Dorset where they'll take on the newly-promoted AFC Bournemouth Cherries. Join us as we preview this much anticipated game, complete with soccer odds and soccer picks.

Aston Villa Road Underdogs
Tim Sherwood begins his first full season with Aston Villa on Saturday, August 8, when his side kicks off its campaign against the newly-promoted Cherries. And, by all accounts, the manager is very optimistic about his side's chances in the coming season, eager to debut his made over Villa side.

Unfortunately, the sentiment isn't echoed across sports betting market or amongst the many panel of experts. Aston Villa enter match day 1 of Premier League betting as the decided underdogs on the soccer odds board, trading at +275 to win outright, all while the draw is trading at +240 soccer odds. Such discouraging soccer odds when they are taking on a promoted side in Bournemouth is revealing, don't you think?

One reason why there aren't many that share in Sherwood's optimism is the loss of several players in key positions. Villa's choice goal keeper Shay Given, centre back Ron Vlaar, midfielder Fabian Delph and striker Christian Benteke are just some of the players to have fled the Midlands for greener pastures elsewhere. While Sherwood has made replacements, he's gone for relatively untried and untested ones in Mark Bunn, Micah Richards, Jordan Ayew, amongst several others.

Another reason why there's an air of doubt wafting over Villa Park is Sherwood's relative inexperience. His stint with the Spurs was short lived, never amounting to a full season. While his stint with Aston Villa began late in the 2014-2015 season and amounted to just 13 games. As a result, this is really his first pre-season as a club manager and his manoeuvring through the transfer window the first of his career too.

 

Aston Villa Avoid Relegation Last Season
The former Spurs boss was appointed late last season, tasked with saving Aston Villa's top-flight campaign and preventing what appeared then an inevitable slide into Championship football. He did it, but only just. Aston Villa finished in 17th place with a 10-8-20 mark and 38 points, three points clear of the drop. Overall, Aston Villa deposited a 5-6-8 mark at home and 5-2-12 on the road. They scored 31 goals (second fewest in the league after Burnley) and conceded 57 goals (third worst in the league).

As far as Premier League goes, Aston Villa's brash flirtation with relegations last season was par for the course. The club is no stranger to the Premier League basement, having dwelled there repeatedly over the last four seasons, clinging to safety only by its tenterhooks. That's why the club ranks amongst the top six clubs slated to be relegated next season at +275 soccer odds in relegation betting.

Sherwood's appointment came with the side facing its last 13 games, in which he delivered just five wins. Still, it was enough to keep the side inside top-flight, despite closing the season behind a 6-1 thrashing at Southampton and a 1-0 loss at home to Burnley.

 

Bournemouth Brimming With Hope
AFC Bournemouth won the Championship and earned promotion into England's top-flight as a result. Being a promoted outfit means expectations are low on the Cherries, with few soccer bettors expecting them to survive another season (they are matched as the third favorites to be demoted by season end at +120 soccer odds at Bet365). Yet, for some reason, they are in with a shot to open their campaign on a positive note. Trading at EVEN odds to win over Aston Villa in their season home opener on Saturday, August 8. Is that just optimism or a real assessment of their merit in this particular matchup.

It could be a bit of both, really. On one hand, Bournemouth have home advantage. What's more, they came up against Villa in FA Cup last season only to lose narrowly 2-1 on the road. Then there's the fact that this is a different Villa side entirely, sans key players such as Benteke and under the stewardship of a different manager (Paul Lambert was at the helm when they last collided with Villa). As it is, Villa hard strike an imposing figure on paper.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict: As a Premier League regular, one assumes Aston Villa should be a tough ask for the promoted Cherries. But it doesn't seem to be the case according to the soccer odds. Quite the opposite, actually. The hosts are trading rather favorably on EVEN odds while the visiting Villa are the rather large underdogs at +275 soccer odds. For our money, we're not prepared to back either side in the winners market. There are too many uncertainties hanging over both teams, making the draw at +240 the safer soccer pick in our books.

Soccer Picks: Draw +240

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