Best Soccer Pick for Saturday's Early Premier League Kickoff: Arsenal vs. Liverpool

Nikki Adams

Thursday, April 2, 2015 6:24 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 2, 2015 6:24 PM UTC

EPL betting moves to the forefront of betting markets on Saturday with a cracking bill of fare highlighted by 2 in-form sides colliding at the Emirates. Here's our preview & soccer picks.

Premier League Betting Is Back
After an exhilarating international break for EURO 2016 qualifying games, domestic league action returns to the forefront of soccer betting markets. Over to the widely popular Premier League, getting us started in an early kickoff is a clash between Arsenal and Liverpool at the Emirates.

Arsenal are sat in third place in the Premier League table through 30 rounds and an 18-6-6 mark and 60 points. They are a point behind Man City (2nd) and seven points behind league leaders Chelsea, with the Blues enjoying the added comfort of a game in hand. It would take a bold, gutsy, absurdly optimistic Arsenal loyalist to suggest the Gunners can overhaul Jose Mourinho's side by season end – a soccer pick currently trading at +2500 soccer odds in Premier League futures betting; just in case there was any doubt about how much of a long shot it really is.

Arsene Wenger's top priority is to steer his Gunners to a Top Four finish and the ensuing Champions League spots. Although they are a firm favourite to do so across sportsbook platforms, trading at -1200 soccer odds to clinch one of those coveted spots. Man United, Liverpool, Southampton and Tottenham are four sides that are also in hot pursuit of European qualification spots and that could shake up the table down the stretch.  

Liverpool are sat fifth in the table behind a 16-6-8 mark and 54 points, six back of Arsenal ahead of their imminent date on Saturday at the Emirates and five back of Manchester United (fourth in the table). The three points up for grabs, therefore, are going to be pivotal towards Liverpool's bid for a Top Four finish, which is currently matched at +333 soccer odds in futures betting markets. Indeed, if Brendan Rodgers' lads are to be worthy of a Top Four finish, then this is the type of match they're going to need to win.


Arsenal and Liverpool Have Form
There's a lot of hype surrounding this clash of Premier League high-flyers, both of which sport sublime form.

Arsenal top the form table going into week 31 of Premier League betting having won their last six games overall and collecting all 18 points. The form table also includes a 6-0-0 record at home and a 4-0-2 record on the road in the last six games respectively. Looking at home form alone, though, the Gunners have won eight straight wins in top flight since a 2-1 loss to Man U back in November. A run of form that should send them into this clash with measured optimism. Indeed, it has earned them favourable soccer odds to win outright across sports betting platforms. They are matched as the -120 favourites at Bet365 to win outright.

Liverpool are not far behind Arsenal on the form table, in third place overall with 15 out 18 points in their last six games and a 5-0-1 record. The Reds have also gone 4-1-1 at home and 5-1-0 away in their last six respectively as well. Crucially, the undefeated run on the road includes clean sheets in all six games, which is impressive. Still, it's not all roses are red.... There's some soccer bettors that would point out though that none of those results came against in-form sides in the league, including the 2-0 win over Southampton, who are sixth in the league table but down to eleventh in the form table. As such, it's hard to put a lot of stock into that run of form. In fact, odds makers send the Reds into this highly-anticipated billing as the significant underdogs, matched at +333 Premier League soccer odds.


Soccer Betting Verdict
With angles for profit on both sides of the coin and good reason to back either side in the winner's market, it's not surprising consensus betting is split down the middle.

The valid arguments are as follows:

On one hand, Arsenal need this win to put distance between themselves and the Reds, let alone the others that are still in the hunt for a Top Four finish, holding out on a sliver of hope. With good form ahead of this clash there's no reason why the Gunners shouldn't be your choice soccer pick.

By the same token, there's no reason why Liverpool can't be your choice soccer pick either. Three points to Arsenal would push Liverpool nine points back, effectively rendering their bid for a Top Four finish an unlikely goal. In that there is incentive for Liverpool to win this game as the +333 underdogs, and they do have form going into this clash as well, even if it is built on the backs of slightly suspect sides. So, it has to be conceded that, at the very least, they could give Arsenal a spot of bother at the Emirates. Best case scenario: they actually turn the soccer betting markets upside down.

If this is doing your head in, then your best bet is to focus on the total betting markets for this game rather than deciding on the winner. Here are a few options that we've cast our eyes on: Over 2.5 is trading at -143 at Bet365 while Over 3.5 is trading at +175 at William Hill. Both teams to score, the YES option, is available at -150 at Bet365. While Both Teams to Score, the YES option, combined with Over 2.5 goals is available at -105 at William Hill.

Soccer Picks: Over 2.5 -143 at Bet365

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