Matteo Berrettini (24) vs Rafael Nadal (2)
Matteo Berrettini survived an epic five-set battle against Gael Monfils on Wednesday to reach his first Grand Slam semifinal at the US Open. The 23-year-old from Rome needed five match points and almost four hours to beat Monfils in one of the most exciting matches of the tournament. Berrettini is having the best season of his career and is projected to rise to a career-high rank of No.13 when the new rankings are released next week. Adding to this, Matteo became the first Italian man to reach the last four at Flushing Meadows since Corrado Barazzutti in 1997.
Berrettini will next play Rafael Nadal for a place in Sunday’s final. The No.2 seed continued his quest for a fourth US Open title on Wednesday after a 6-4, 7-5, 6-2 win over Diego Schwartzman in two hours and 47 minutes. Nadal broke serve eight times and struck 35 winners to reach the semifinals in New York for the eighth time in his career. The 18-time Grand Slam champion is the only player left in the draw who has reached a major final and the main contender to lift the trophy at Flushing Meadows.
Looking now at the odds for this contest, Nadal is the heavy favorite to reach the final at -1750 with BetOnline. Berrettini will have a very tough task on this match but it’s hard to ignore the value on his tennis betting odds. The Italian has one of the best serves on the ATP Tour and should create some problems to Nadal on this match, which makes Matteo’s spread the best betting approach for this match.
Best Pick: Matteo Berrettini +8.5 (-120) with Pinnacle