Barcelona vs. Villarreal: Pick 'Over' in Scoring Frenzy at Camp Nou

Nikki Adams

Sunday, November 8, 2015 2:11 AM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 8, 2015 2:11 AM UTC

Barcelona look to pull ahead in the table when they take on Villarreal at Camp Nou, marking match day 11 of La Liga betting. Find out where the value soccer picks are to be had.

Barcelona and Real Madrid Joint Leaders
Barcelona and Real Madrid are knotted on 24 points atop La Liga table, but the latter has the slight edge on goal differential. This sets up a pivotal week 11 in Spanish top flight for Barcelona and Real Madrid, as both will look to stay abreast of the title race.

Barcelona take on Villarreal while Real Madrid take on Sevilla, two very tough matchups that could go either way. Barcelona have the slight advantage this weekend playing at home while Los Blancos must make the trip to Andalusia.

Predictably, Barcelona are the massive favorites to win over Villarreal. They are trading at -333 soccer odds at Bet365, which is well short. By contrast, Villarreal are the massive underdogs creeping on almost +1000 soccer odds to win outright while the draw is on offers of +450.

In no uncertain terms, the expectation is for a Barcelona win across sports betting platforms. The defending champions boast and 8-0-2 mark on the season, which includes a perfect 5-0-0 mark at home, where they’ve shipped 15 goals and conceded just five.

Since a 1-1 draw to Athletic Club in Super Cup action at the start of the season, Barcelona have reeled off seven wins at home across all competitions, two of which were clean sheets and as recently as a 3-0 win over BATE in midweek Champions League action.

Aside from a 1-0 win over Malaga in week 1 of La Liga, six matches in a row have combined for three goals or more on average with the Catalans doing most of the damage on the scoreboard.


Villarreal Massive Underdogs
Given Villarreal are sat in fifth place in La Liga and just four points behind the leading tandem of Real Madrid and Barcelona, their soccer odds for this game seem a bit disingenuous. Clearly, this side is much better than the soccer odds would suggest. Problem is Barcelona are simply a cut above the rest. Arguably, one of the best teams in the world.

Villarreal are 6-2-2 on the season with 20 points. Granted their best results have come at home behind a 4-0-1 mark, but they aren’t exactly pointless on the road with a 2-2-1 mark. Most recently, Villarreal are riding a four-game unbeaten streak across all competitions, including a win over Dinamo Minsk (away) in Europa League action.

That said, the only teams Villarreal have beaten on the road this season in Spanish top flight have been lesser opponents – Granada and Malaga, two of the season’s stragglers. They were unable to defeat promoted side Las Palmas on their last outing, settling on a scoreless draw. Even lost to bottom-of-the-table Levante the trip previous.


Soccer Betting Verdict
Barcelona are correctly matched as the favorites, but at -333 soccer odds the value really isn’t in backing Barcelona on the win. The best play here has to be on the totals with the OVER 2.5 at -188. Given the scoring frenzy at Camp Nou in recent weeks, it would be surprising if the Catalan giants don’t notch a few into the back of the net. Another soccer pick that looks tempting is to back the No option on Both Teams To Score at -120.

Soccer Picks: Barcelona to win at -333; Over 2.5 at -188 and No for both teams to score at -120

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