Backing Home Teams Looks Appealing in MLS Matchups

kansas city

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, April 17, 2018 8:04 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 17, 2018 8:04 PM UTC

This looks like a good weekend in MLS to back some home clubs, with many hosts needing a win to either gain momentum or continue to dominate their pitches.

MLS: Matchday 8 Select PicksSporting Kansas City vs. Vancouver WhitecapsFree MLS Pick: Sporting KC -192Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Western Conference leader Sporting Kansas City (4-2-1, 14 GF/11 GA) welcomes the third-place Vancouver Whitecaps (3-1-3, 8 GF/11 GA) on Friday night. Felipe Gutiérrez (5 goals) and SKC are 2-1-1 at home, while Kei Kamara (3 goals), Brek Shea (3 goals) and the Whitecaps are 2-0-2 on the road. In the last five meetings in this series, the home club is 3-1-1 and the "under" has hit in four straight, averaging 1.75 goals per game. That’s what we see in this spot, a low-scoring fight not to lose.

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It had been 40 @MLS matches since #VWFC lost twice in a row

Now we turn the page, onward to @SportingKC #HereWeCome https://t.co/vX5wsEhg2J

— Vancouver Whitecaps (@WhitecapsFC) April 17, 2018
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SKC has more on the attack this season and Vancouver has scored in every road fixture. SKC is 4-1-1 (11 GS/7 GA) all-time at home against the Whitecaps and 6-3-3 (19 GF/16 GA) overall, but these two sides have played tight games with two goals or less separating the teams over the last nine meetings. With your MLS picks, logic says SKC finds a way to win by one in a close one. Final score prediction: Sporting KC 1, Whitecaps 0.

New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago FireFree MLS Pick: Red Bulls -215Best Line Offered: Bovada

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Nemanja Nikiloc (4 goals) and the Chicago Fire (1-1-3, 7 GS/9 GA) head east to face Bradley Wright-Phillips (4 goals) and the New York Red Bulls (3-0-2, 13 GS-6 GA) on Saturday afternoon in a big Eastern conference spot for the visitors. Chicago is 0-0-1 on the road and starts the week in 10th place. A look at the last five meetings in this series shows the Red Bulls are unbeaten (3-2-0), outscoring the Fire 10-4. Two of the last four meetings went "over."

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We love playing at @RedBullArena.

Unbeaten in 1⃣1⃣ straight @MLS matches.

In those games, we have a ➕2⃣2⃣ goal differential. pic.twitter.com/7nMYKdbf1z

— New York Red Bulls (@NewYorkRedBulls) April 17, 2018
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New York is unbeaten in its last 11 home games (+22 goal differential), including a 3-0-0 start this season (10-1 GD), and hasn't lost to Chicago in the L7 meetings between the two in MLS play, and the Red Bulls are 14-3-11 lifetime at home against the Fire. With so much scoring in the series, it’s tempting to just want to blindly back the "over" here (3o -115, Heritage), but the temperature (high of 56 degrees is forecast) and the "total" on the MLS odds board might be lower than expected. Final score prediction: Red Bulls 2, Fire 1.

Columbus Crew vs. New England RevolutionFree MLS Pick: Crew -163Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Gyasi Zardes (4 goals) and the Columbus Crew (3-1-3, 9 GS/7 GA) welcome the New England Revolution (3-1-2, 6 GF/4 GA) for Saturday's meeting between the East's third- and fourth-place teams. The Black & Gold are 2-0-1 at home, while Diego Fagundez (3 goals) and the Revs are 1-0-1 on the road. The last five games in the series shows three consecutive wins for the home club with Columbus registering 2-0 clean sheet victories. With the Crew so good at home the last two seasons, backing the hosts seems logical. Final score prediction: Crew 2, Revolution 1.

Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United FCFree MLS Picks: Sounders -250; Sounders -1¼ - 118Best Lines Offered: Bookmaker; Intertops

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The sleeping and still-winless Sounders (0-1-3, 2 GS/7 GA) play Ethan Finlay (2 goals) and Minnesota United FC (1-1-2, 7 GS/8 GA) on Sunday in a Western Conference battle between two clubs on the wrong side of the playoff cutoff line, albeit still very early in the season. Seattle is in last place, and Minnesota United is eighth. With Minnesota United just expanding into the league last year, these two have only played twice, last August, with Clint Dempsey and Seattle rolling 4-0 on the road and 2-1 at home. Seattle, the 2016 MLS champ and the 2017 runner-up, has scored only 2 goals this season, by Will Bruin and Cristian Roldan, but expect this team to wake from its slumber. Final score prediction: Sounders 3, Minnesota United FC 0.

Four-Team Home Favorites Parlay: Sporting Kansas City-Red Bulls-Crew-Sounders

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