Australian Open Quarterfinals Day 1: Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Sunday, January 21, 2018 9:38 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 21, 2018 9:38 PM UTC

Join us for our daily coverage of the Australian Open tournament. Find out our top tennis picks for the Quarterfinals Day 1 (Monday in USA)  and why you should place these two valuable bets.

Rafael Nadal (1) vs. Marin Cilic (6)

Rafael Nadal continues his quest for second Australian Open title after a 6-3, 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 win over Diego Schwartzman in just under four hours. Despite concerns regarding Nadal’s physical condition, the world No.1 seems fully recovered from the knee injury that forced him to withdraw from the Brisbane International earlier this season. Taking a look now at Nadal’s numbers on this event, the highlight definitely goes to his return to serve with the 2009 Australian Open champion winning 49.80% of the points played on his opponents’ serve.

The 2014 US Open champion Marin Cilic won his 100th Grand Slam match as he advanced to the Australian Open quarterfinals with a four-set victory against Pablo Carreno Busta. The 29-year-old produced an impressive display with 73 winners and only 45 unforced errors. Adding to this, the 2010 Australian Open semifinalist ended the match against Carreno Busta with an impressive average of 0.91 aces per service game.

These two players know each other very well with Nadal winning five of their previous six official encounters on the ATP World Tour.

Despite Nadal’s dominance on the h2h, the fast court conditions in Melbourne Park clearly benefit Cilic’s powerful serve. On the other hand, Marin won at least one set in 80.00% of his previous 10 appearances in quarterfinals of Grand Slam events. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of the value on Cilic’s tennis betting odds by placing a bet on the No.6 seed to win at least one set on this match.

Free Tennis Pick: Marin Cilic +2.5 Set Handicap (-164)
Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Elise Mertens vs. Elina Svitolina (4)

Elina Svitolina couldn’t have asked for a better start to 2018. Besides winning the Brisbane International, Svitolina secured a spot in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open for the first time in her career. As we predicted in our Day 7 analysis, the No. 4 proved too strong for Denisa Allertova with a 6-3, 6-0 win over the Czech qualifier. At the age of 23, Elina is trying to become the first Ukrainian to win a Grand Slam title.

Playing in Australia brings the best out of Elise Mertens with an extraordinary 17-match record at the WTA Hobart and in the Australian Open. Regardless of this Tuesday’s outcome, the 22-year-old already secured her career-high ranking next week with an unprecedented appearance in the top 25. Adding to this, Mertens became the first Belgian to reach the quarter-finals in Melbourne Park since Kim Clijsters in 2012. Taking a look now at Elise’s campaign on this event, the player from Leuven reaches this stage of the competition after a 7-6, 7-5 victory against Petra Martic.

This should be a very interesting contest between two players who are still unbeaten in 2018. Despite Mertens’ impressive results in Australia, it won’t be easy for the Belgian to overcome such a great defender as Svitolina. For that reason, our advice is for you to add the Ukrainian's spread to your tennis betting picks as the most valuable approach for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Elina Svitolina -4.5 (-108)
Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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