Australian Open Day 1 Tennis Picks: Top Plays of the Day

João Mourato

Saturday, January 16, 2016 10:24 PM GMT

During the next two weeks, we’ll be providing the highest value tennis bets for the Australian Open. Find out our ATP and WTA Top Play for the Australian Open Day 1.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 42 (-108)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Ivo Karlovic (22) vs. Federico Delbonis
It was a remarkable 2015 for Ivo Karlovic, ending the season inside top 25 for the first time since 2007. Ivo is one of the toughest opponents to face in the game, with 6’11’’ (211 cm) the Croatian is one of the biggest servers in the history of the game, in fact Karlovic broke Goran Ivanisevic ace record last year. The year of 2016 didn’t start very well for Ivo, losing on his debut, in Auckland, against Vasek Pospisil. Karlovic’s game is all about the serve and his impressive numbers on service were the main reason for his success in 2015, ending the season with 66.5% first serve in. Last week against Pospisil, the Croatian only placed 56.2% first serve and is very hard for him to win matches with such low %.

Despite having on clay his best surface, Federico Delbonis can be a very competitive player on Hard Court. The Argentinean has a great serve and likes to control the rallies with his heavy top spin forehand. Delbonis started his season at Sydney, where he reached the second round after defeating the Australian big server, Sam Groth, by 7 – 6 7 – 6.  The conditions in Melbourne suit Delbonis game style, with his top spin bouncing extremely high and last year he created many problems to Kyrgios, losing only in five sets.

This will be the second meeting between these two players, with Karlovic leading 2 – 0 on h2h, however Delbonis was always a tough opponent for the Croatian.

This should be a very close contest. From the baseline, Delbonis is much better and will use his left-handed forehand to explore Ivo’s poor backhand. Tomorrow 35ºC are expected and it will be extremely tough for Ivo to keep a consistent level under such hot conditions. On the other hand, Delbonis is Argentinean and more than used to play on high temperatures. At least four sets and couple of tie breaks are expected and for that reason we’ll add the Over to our tennis picks on this match.

 

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 21 (-101)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Krystina Pliskova vs. Samantha Stosur (25)
The Australian no. 1 and one-time US Open champion, Samantha Stosur, will be looking for a better performance at the Australian Open this year. Stosur has never been able to produce her best tennis on Australian soil, always struggling with the status of ‘home favorite’. This year she played at Brisbane and Sydney, losing on second round and quarterfinals, respectively. Sam’s career -32.2% ROI on Australia, clearly supports what we mentioned about her poor performances in her home country.

Krystina Pliskova is Karolina twin sister, however she hasn’t been able to with her sister’s rise on WTA. Krystina is a very dangerous player, with her strong serve and powerful groundstrokes as her main weapons. However, the Czech is a very tall player and far from having a good baseline movement. This will be Pliskova’s second career appearance at Australian Open main draw, after losing in the second round in 2013.

This will be the first career contest between this pair.

It won’t be an easy match for Stosur, adding to her usual problems in Australia, she’s also quite vulnerable against left-handed players. Stosur’s backhand is her weakest shot and Pliskova will explore that with her left-handed serve and forehand. The Australian might emerge victorious at the end, but this should be a very close contest and the value is clearly on Pliskova’s tennis odds. With this in mind, we suggest to add the Over to your tennis picks, expecting a very close match.