ATP & WTA Miami Day 7: Top Plays for Monday

João Mourato

Monday, March 28, 2016 1:50 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 28, 2016 1:50 PM UTC

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP & WTA Miami event. Find out our top tennis picks on both competitions for the Day 7 and why should you place these two valuable bets.

Jack Sock (22) vs Milos Raonic (12)
It has been a remarkable season so far for Milos Raonic, with the Canadian winning 15 of the 17 matches he played in 2016. After reaching Indian Wells final, Milos is looking to maintain his good run in Miami. Raonic started his campaign in Miami with a 7 – 6 6 – 4 victory over Denis Kudla, in a match where the world no.12 saved all the six break points he faced. It was far from Raonic’s best performance in 2016, but the Canadian found a way to emerge victorious by playing better on pressure points.

Jack Sock is for the second consecutive year on ATP Miami’s third round, after Sergiy Stakhovsky’s retirement in the previous round, when Sock was already leading by 6 – 2 3 – 2. Jack was serving at superb level on that match, placing 67% first serve and winning 92% of the points with his first serve. Sock enjoys the slower conditions in Miami, which gives him more time to hit his favorite shot – the runaround forehand.

This two players will face each other for the 8th time on their careers, with Raonic leading by 6 – 1 on h2h.

Despite Raonic’s lead on h2h, Sock has always been a tough opponent for the Canadian. Looking at Milos’ previous six victories over Sock, in three of them the American won one set and on the other three where Raonic triumphed in straight sets, three tie breaks were played. This should be a very close contest with at least one tie break taking place, and it won’t be surprising to see Jack taking this into a decider. With this in mind, we believe there is value on the Over tennis odds and recommend you to place a bet on it.              

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 23.5 (-113)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Elina Svitolina (12) vs Ekaterina Makarova (30)
In our ATP & WTA Miami Day 5 analysis, we picked Ekaterina Makarova to give a good fight on her 3rd round match against Petra Kvitova and cover the Over; however, the Russian was even better than we expected and got the job done in straight sets. Ekaterina played at a very high level throughout the match, especially under pressure, saving 6 of 7 break points and converting 50% of the break point chances she had.

Elina Svitolina reaches this 4th round after a dramatic victory over Caroline Wozniacki, in a match that took more than 2:30 hours and was only solved on a third set tie break. It has been a very positive year for Svitolina, winning the title in Kuala Lumpur and reaching Dubai’s semifinals. Elina is a fearful fighter, never giving anything for free to her opponents and always believing in herself. Svitolina’s second serve is clearly the weakest part of her game, yet she has been serving at very good level this week, placing 67.6% first serve and winning 75.0% of her service games.

This will be the fourth career meeting between these two players, with Makarova winning all the previous three.

All the previous contests were played in 2015, one of them on this Miami event where Makarova dismissed the Ukrainian by 6 – 0 6 – 4. Although Makarova’s dominance in past meetings, Svitolina is currently playing at a phenomenal level and her baseline consistency might be too much for Makarova. On her previous match against Kvitova, Makarova just had to be solid and keep the ball in play but this time, she has to go for it because Svitolina is an outstanding defender. This might be the time for Elina’s first career victory over Makarova and for that reason, we advise to add Svitolina to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Elina Svitolina ML (+104) 
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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