ATP & WTA Madrid Day 4: Top Plays of the Day

João Mourato

Monday, May 2, 2016 7:56 PM UTC

Monday, May. 2, 2016 7:56 PM UTC

Join us and find out our two top betting selections for the ATP & WTA Madrid Day 4. We'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab these two valuable tennis picks.

Samantha Stosur vs Lucie Safarova (11)
Samantha Stosur reaches this event after a good run in Prague, where she only lost at the final against this same opponent. The game conditions in Madrid are extremely good for Stosur’s tennis, with her kick serve bouncing extremely high and the fast conditions suiting her powerful groundstrokes. On the first round, the 2010 French Open runner-up experienced no problems against Sara Sorribes Tormo, defeating the Spaniard by 6 – 1 6 – 3. This is Samantha’s 8th career appearance on this event, with her best result achieved in 2010 and 2012 when she reached the quarterfinals.

It hasn’t been an easy start of season for Lucie Safarova, after missing the first weeks of the season due to health problems the Czech lost the first five matches she played. Safarova finally returned to victories last week in Prague, winning not only one match but also the tournament. Safarova had a slow start this week against Coco Vandeweghe, but managed to recover twice from a break down on the first set to emerge victorious by 7 – 6 6 – 1.

These two players know each other well with 14 previous matches between them. Lucie won 11 of those contests, with the most recent taking place last week in Prague where Safarova won by 3 – 6 6 – 1 6 – 4.

This is probably the clay court event where Stosur is able to produce a higher level of tennis, with the altitude making her kick serve and heavy spin forehand even more dangerous. The home support proved to be crucial on their encounter last week but this time, Stosur has a good opportunity to revenge that loss. Stosur’s tennis odds for this match are extremely interesting and for that reason, we suggest you to take advantage of them by placing a bet on the Australian.

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Free Tennis Pick: Samantha Stosur ML (+165)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline


Fabio Fognini vs Bernard Tomic
Fabio Fognini returned to competition in Monte Carlo, after several weeks away due to an abdominal injury. Fabio is one of the most talented players on tour and he’s able to produce an outstanding level of tennis on clay; however, he’s also known as one of the most unstable players. This has never been a good event for Fognini, with the Italian winning only 2 of the 9 matches he played throughout his career on ATP Madrid main draw.

Clay is known to be Bernard Tomic’s worst surface, with the Australian player winning only 33.93% of the matches he played throughout his career on this surface while his overall winning record is 57.56%. One of the reasons for Bernard’s lack of success on this surface is his game style, with his counter punching being far from effective on this surface. However, the main reason for his poor results on clay is his mindset, with Tomic struggling to find the best motivation like it happened last week in Istanbul, where he lost against Diego Schwartzman by 2 – 6 2 – 6.

This will be the third career meeting between these two players, with Fognini winning in 2012 at Eastbourne grass while Tomic emerged victorious last year on Paris Indoor.

If there is a tournament where Tomic can find some success on clay is this one, where the fast conditions can help him winning more points with his serve. No doubts that Fabio is the better player on clay yet, he can never be this favorite due to his mental inconsistency. In a match between Tomic and Fognini everything can happen and for that reason, we suggest you to add the Over to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 21.5 (+100)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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