ATP & WTA Indian Wells Day 4: Top Plays for Saturday

João Mourato

Friday, March 11, 2016 9:50 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 11, 2016 9:50 PM UTC

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP & WTA Indian Wells event. Find out our top plays on both competitions for the Day 4 and why you should place these bets.

Tomas Berdych (6) vs. Juan Martin Del Potro (WC)
It was a bittersweet feeling for Tomas Berdych on his Davis Cup campaign against Germany, because the Czech Republic team managed to advance to the next stage but he was forced to retire from his match due to a right hamstring injury. Adding to this, Berdych hasn’t been producing his best tennis this year with too many unforced errors. This will be Tomas’ 12th career appearance in Indian Wells, with his best result achieved in 2013 when he reached the semifinals.

Juan Martin Del Potro is slowing returning to his best level and despite still struggling with his backhand, his forehand is already outstanding. After reaching Delray Beach’s semifinals, the Argentinean started his campaign in Indian Wells with an impressive triumph over Tim Smyczek. Del Potro’s serve was at great level with 80% first serve in and from the baseline he played quite solid, ending the match with 11 winners / 11 unforced errors.

These two players featured some extraordinary clashes in the past, with Del Potro leading on h2h by 4 – 3.

We should witness a high quality contest and it wouldn’t be surprising to see Del Potro emerging victorious on this match. Berdych will be looking to explore the Argentinean’s weaker backhand but if Juan keeps serving around 80% and with such a solid baseline game, he clearly has good chances of taking the victory. Having said that, we suggest taking advantage of Del Potro’s value by adding him to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Juan Martin Del Potro ML (+137)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Ana Ivanovic (14) vs. Camila Giorgi
There aren’t much secrets on Camila Giorgi’s tennis, the Italian is known for her tremendous firepower and for trying to hit every ball as strong as she can. It has been a decent start of season for Giorgi, with her losses this season occurring against high quality players. Despite not being able to pull off any major upset so far this year, Camila is always a tough player to face and she has been a remarkable investment as underdog throughout her career – 33.5% ROI on 77 matches. Camila played an outstanding first round match against Julia Goerges, dismissing the German by 6 – 3 6 – 2 and winning 74% points on serve.

It hasn’t been an easy start of season for the 2008 Indian Wells champion, Ana Ivanovic, with the former world no.1 suffering several early losses. Even though the undeniable quality on the Serbian’s forehand, her backhand is much more unreliable and the main reason for her less achieved results. Ana is the 14th seed and because she’s one of the 32 best ranked players on the competition she had a bye on the first round.

These two players faced each other one time in the past, with Ivanovic emerging victorious on that contest in Tokyo last year by 7 – 5 6 – 2.

Ivanovic is priced as moderate favorite for this match but it should be a much closer contest than the Serbian tennis odds indicate. As we mentioned, Giorgi is a tremendous investment as underdog and her fearful tennis is the main reason for that. Camila also has the advantage of playing one prior match while Ivanovic will make her debut. With this in mind, we believe there is clear value on the Italian side and for that reason, we advise placing a bet on her set handicap.

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Free Tennis Pick: Camila Giorgi +1.5 Set Handicap (-111)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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