ATP & WTA Indian Wells Day 12: Finals Top Plays

João Mourato

Sunday, March 20, 2016 12:02 AM UTC

Sunday, Mar. 20, 2016 12:02 AM UTC

Join us and find out our two top betting selections for the ATP & WTA Indian Wells Finals that take place this Sunday. We'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab these two valuable bets.

Serena Williams (1) vs. Victoria Azarenka (13)
It was a strange semifinal match from Serena Williams against Agnieszka Radwanska, with the American struggling at times to find her tennis and showing some lack of physical ability, especially in the beginning of the match. Despite those problems, Serena’s firepower was once again too much for Radwanska, finishing the match with 41 winners / 29 unforced errors. Serena will be looking for her third Indian Wells title, with her prior two achieved in the distant years of 1999 and 2001.

The 2012 Indian Wells champion, Victoria Azarenka, is looking for her second career trophy in the Californian desert. Azarenka had a very tough semifinals clash against Karolina Pliskova, but still found a way to emerge victorious by 7 – 6 1 – 6 6 – 2. Despite Azarenka’s problems on her second serve this week – with the Belarussian committing an average of 0.65 double faults per service game – she has been extremely solid on her first serve, winning 79.7% of the points with her first serve and securing 85.4% of her service games throughout the tournament.

These two players know each other very well, with Williams leading on h2h by 17 – 3. Although Serena’s lead on prior encounters, Azarenka has never been an easy match-up for the American.

The matches between this pair are always fascinating with Serena’s firepower and Azarenka’s counter punching skills. One of the keys for this match will be the first serve % and if Azarenka can keep her numbers above 65%, she has good chances on this match. If we look at the last six meetings, the Over was always won and due to the good level presented by both players we believe the same should occur on this contest. Having said that, we suggest adding the Over to your tennis picks on this match.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 21.5 (-110)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Milos Raonic (12)
As we predicted in our ATP Indian Wells semifinals preview, David Goffin gave a very  good fight on his match against Milos Raonic; however, the Canadian broke Goffin’s serve in the start of the 3rd set and never lost that lead again, claiming a place in the final with a 6 – 3 3 – 6 6 – 3 triumph. We mentioned also in our previous article that Raonic has been incredibly solid with his second serve, but against Goffin he only won 32% of the points with his second serve.

It was far from an easy semifinals match for Novak Djokovic against Rafael Nadal, but the Serbian managed to survive with a 7 – 6 6 – 2 victory. We picked the Spaniard to cover his spread on that match, but he couldn’t keep the level after a super close first set. We mentioned in our ATP Indian Wells tournament analysis that it wouldn’t be easy for Djokovic to win his third straight title on this event; however, Novak showed why he’s the undeniable world no.1, always raising the level under pressure and finding ways to emerge victorious.

This will be the 6th career meeting between these two players, with Djokovic leading on h2h by 5 – 0 and the best Raonic did was winning one set on all those prior encounters.

Djokovic is the unquestionable favorite for this match, but Raonic is playing at a superb level and he won’t be an easy task for the Serbian. They played at least one tie break in four of their previous five matches and the same should happen here. With that in mind, we believe this should be a long game and for that reason, we suggest taking advantage of the Over tennis odds as the best play for this match.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over 22 (-116)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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