ATP & WTA Indian Wells Day 10: Top Plays for Friday

João Mourato

Thursday, March 17, 2016 11:17 PM GMT

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP & WTA Indian Wells event. Find out our top plays on both competitions for Day 10 and why you should place these bets.

 

Rafael Nadal (4) vs. Kei Nishikori (5)
Despite not playing at his best level, Rafael Nadal keeps finding a way to survive and that’s exactly what happened in his previous match against Alexander Zverev. The German should have won that match but wasn’t able to convert an easy match point at 5 – 3 on the third set. After that point Zverev lost all his confidence, winning only 1 of the last 16 points on the match. Nadal already mentioned more than once that he has been struggling with confidence and this win over Zverev will definitely help raising the Spaniard’s morale.

Kei Nishikori is for the first time on Indian Wells quarterfinals after an incredibly tough match against John Isner. The Japanese recovered from a set down to emerge victorious by 1 – 6 7 – 6 7 – 6. We picked Isner as the player to keep an eye on this event and he was very close from reaching the quarterfinals; however, Nishikori played extremely well under pressure – saving one match point and winning two tiebreaks against one of the best players in the history of the game on tiebreaks. In fact, it has been a remarkable week for Kei on tiebreaks, winning also his 3rd round match against Steve Johnson by 7 – 6 7 – 6.

This will be the 9th career meeting between these two players, with Nadal leading on h2h by 7 – 1.

Although Nadal’s lead on h2h, it was Nishikori who won the previous match in Montreal last year by 6 – 2 6 – 4. The courts in Indian Wells suit the Spaniard’s game style, with his heavy spin becoming even more effective on this higher bouncing courts. On the other hand, Nishikori can’t hit the ball as early as he likes on this surface and that’s the main reason for his prior lack of success on this event. The value is clearly on Nadal’s tennis odds, with the three-time Indian Wells champion priced as underdog and for that reason, we suggest placing a bet on him.

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Free Tennis Pick: Rafael Nadal ML (+120)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Serena Williams (1) vs. Agnieszka Radwanska (3)
In our Indian Wells Day 8 Article, we picked Simona Halep to cover her spread against Serena Williams, but the American played at a superb level which lead to a void on our bet. Serena clearly raised the level on that match, showing that she’s determined to forget her recent losses on Grand Slam events. Even though Serena was facing one of the best defenders on tour, she ended the match with outstanding numbers – 66% first serve in, 7 aces and 28 winners / 24 unforced errors.

The 2014 Indian Wells runner-up, Agnieszka Radwanska, is looking for her second appearance on this event’s decisive match. After being close from elimination on her debut, where she had to recover from a 2 – 5 disadvantage on the third set against Dominika Cibulkova, Radwanska won the following three matches in straight sets against Monica Niculescu, Jelena Jankovic and Petra Kvitova.

These two players will face each other for the 10th time on their careers, with Serena leading by 9 – 0 and losing only one set on their previous meetings.

There isn’t much Radwanska can do against this opponent, she’ll try to extend the rallies and change the pace of the game, but if Serena is at good level she should overpower the Polish. They already played this year in Melbourne, where Williams destroyed Radwanska by 6 – 0 6 – 4. With this in mind, we suggest adding the American’s spread to your tennis picks as the best play for this match. 

Free Tennis Pick: Serena Williams -5 (-118)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle