The ATP World Tour comes to an end with the eight best players in 2016 fighting for the ATP World Tour Finals title. Find out who are the main contenders as well as the highest value plays.
The eight best players in 2016 will fight for the ATP World Tour Finals trophy. As it happens on the WTA Finals Singapore, this competition presents a unique format with a Round Robin stage.
Let’s take a look now to two groups:
John McEnroe Group – Andy Murray, Stan Wawrinka, Kei Nishikori and Marin Cilic.
Ivan Lendl Group – Novak Djokovic, Milos Raonic, Gael Monfils and Dominic Thiem.
John McEnroe Group
At the age of 29, Andy Murray became the first British player to secure the lead on the ATP World Tour ranking. With 8 titles already, 73 wins and only 9 losses in 2016, reaching the top of the ranking is a fair reward after such an amazing year. However, everything might change after this tournament with Novak Djokovic looking to regain his dominance on the ATP World Tour. Even though this is already Andy’s 8th career apperance on the ATP World Tour Finals, the British is still looking for his first final on this event with a 11 – 11 record.
Looking now to the Sportsbooks analysis, Murray is the undeniable favorite to win the John McEnroe Group with Coral offering -149 for Andy’s success in the round robin stage. Although we agree with Murray’s favoritism, it’s impossible to find any value on the current prices. Therefore, our recommendation is for you to avoid placing any bet on the new world no.1 to win this very tough group.
Ivan Lendl Group
After a disappointing loss at the BNP Paribas Masters quarter-finals against Marin Cilic, Novak Djokovic lost the ATP World Tour ranking lead for the first time since June 2014. With only one title since June, it hasn’t been easy for Djokovic to present his best tennis after claiming the French Open title. Despite his less achieved results in recent months, Novak is always a fearful opponent, especially on this event where he’s looking for his 5th consecutive title.
As we mentioned before, Djokovic will face Milos Raonic, Gael Monfils and Dominic Thiem in the round robin stage. Looking now to Novak’s prior record against these three opponents, the Serbian holds a massive 23 – 0 lead on the h2h against the other players in the Ivan Lendl Group. Adding to this, all three players are struggling with physical issues which makes it unlikely for them to present their best tennis in London.
As the odds suggest, Djokovic and Murray should face each other in the decisive match next Sunday November 20th. Unlike in the past, Andy is the one with the lowest price on the outright market at +125 at Bet365 while Pinnacle offers +159 for Djokovic to lift the trophy. Even though we agree that Murray reaches this event in better shape, it’s a mistake to underestimate the Serbian.
Djokovic won 70.59% of their previous 34 meetings and if we look only to the matches on Indoor Hard Court, the defending champion won all the four encounters on that surface. For all these reasons, we advise you to take advantage of Novak’s betting odds to win this event at +159 at Pinnacle.