ATP World Tour Finals - Best Plays For Semi-Finals

Tennis player Novak Djokovic

Saturday, November 19, 2016 3:43 PM GMT

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP World Tour Finals. Find out our top tennis picks for the semi-finals and why you should place these two valuable tennis picks.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/_v4GfasMoqo", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]

Novak Djokovic (2) vs. Kei Nishikori (5)

The defending champion – Novak Djokovic – continues his successful journey in London. This is without any doubts one of Djokovic’s favorite tournaments, with Novak not only looking for his fifth consecutive trophy in London but also to regain his place as the world no.1. Djokovic reaches this stage of the competition after an overwhelming performance against David Goffin, dismissing the Belgian by 6 – 1 6 – 2. Taking a look now to the Serbian’s numbers throughout this event, the highlight clearly goes to his return to serve with Djokovic winning 34.40% of the games played on his opponents’ serve.

With the qualification already assured after Andy Murray’s triumph, Kei Nishikori was far from his best this Friday against Marin Cilic. Nishikori’s mind was already in the semifinals with the Japanese ending the match with 13 winners / 29 unforced errors and only 28.57% points won at the net. Despite Kei’s poor performance, it’s expectable to see the world no.5 raising his level this Saturday.

This will be the 13th career meeting between these two players with Djokovic leading on the h2h by 10 – 2.

Both players are famous for their outstanding groundstrokes yet, Djokovic clearly holds the edge on this match-up, with the Serbian also winning all their five encounters in 2016. Even though Nishikori can produce a high level of tennis, it’s unlikely to see him maintaining a high level for a long period. With this in mind, our recommendation is for you to take advantage of Djokovic’s betting odds by placing a bet on the Serbian to cover his spread on this match.

Free Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -4.5 (+110)

Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

Andy Murray (1) vs. Milos Raonic (4)

After a three-year absence, Andy Murray returns to the ATP World Tour Finals’ semifinals. As we predicted in our Day 6 analysis, Stan Wawrinka couldn’t find an answer to Andy’s solid baseline. The British covered our -1.5 Set Handicap with a solid 6 – 4 6 – 2 triumph over the 2016 US Open Champion. Even though Murray is famous for his remarkable return to serve, the home favorite reaches this stage of the competition with impressive numbers on serve, winning 91.18% of the games played on his serve throughout the week.

With an impressive 7 – 6 6 – 3 victory over Dominic Thiem, Milos Raonic secured a place on this event’s semifinals for the first time in his career. Besides this, Milos also assured a new career high ranking next week as world no.3. With only two breaks of serve allowed throughout the week – both to Novak Djokovic – Raonic reaches this stage of the competition at a superb level.

These two players know each other well with Murray winning 8 of their previous 11 meetings. Adding to Andy’s lead on the h2h, the British also won all their last 7 meetings, including five this season.

This is a very interesting match-up with Raonic’s massive serve contrasting with Murray’s outstanding defensive skills. Even though this event takes place on Indoor Hard Court, the conditions in the O2 Arena are quite slow, which definitely benefits Andy. However, Milos is also enjoying the game conditions this week and after his performances in the round robin stage, we expect a very close contest. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add the Over to your betting picks.

Free Tennis Pick: Over 22.5 (-115)

Best Line Offered: at BetVictor