ATP World Tour Finals - Best Plays For Day 3

Joao Mourato

Monday, November 14, 2016 9:16 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 14, 2016 9:16 PM UTC

Join us for our daily coverage of the ATP World Tour Finals. Find out our top tennis picks for Day 3 and why you should place these two valuable tennis picks. 

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Novak Djokovic (2) vs. Milos Raonic (4)

Despite losing the opening set on his debut against Dominic Thiem, Novak Djokovic bounced back with a high quality performance, dismissing the Austrian by 6 – 7 6 – 0 6 – 2. With the return to the world no.1 spot as his main goal, Djokovic showed a terrific attitude after dropping the first set. Looking now to Novak’s numbers throughout the match, the highlight clearly goes to the Serbian’s serve with the defending champion winning 73.75% of the points played on his service games.

After struggling with some physical problems in recent weeks, Milos Raonic seemed fully recovered on his debut against Gael Monfils. The Canadian featured an extraordinary performance without facing a single break point throughout the entire contest. With 30 winners and only 13 unforced errors, Gael couldn’t find an answer to Raonic’s powerful tennis. Besides this, the Canadian was also impressive at the net, winning 83.33% of the 24 points played at the net.

These two players know each other well with Djokovic winning all their seven previous meetings. Adding to this, Novak won 85.71% of those matches in straight sets with Raonic stealing only one set to the Serbian two years ago in Rome’s clay.

Even though Raonic’s superb performance on his debut, Djokovic is just a terrible match-up for the Canadian. Known as one of the best returners in the history of the game, it’s very hard for Milos to win free points on serve against the Serbian. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Djokovic’s betting odds by placing a bet on his set handicap.


Free Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -1.5 Set Handicap (-128)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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 Gael Monfils (6) vs. Dominic Thiem (8)

After playing already 109 matches in 2016 (80 singles and 29 doubles), Dominic Thiem is completely exhausted. Famous for his firepower, Thiem needs to be in excellent physical condition to produce his best tennis. Otherwise, the Austrian can’t keep a consistent level as we saw on his first match in the O2 Arena against Novak Djokovic. Taking a look to Dominic’s numbers on his debut, the world no.9 ended the match with 28 winners and 47 unforced errors, winning only 31.25% of the points played at the net.

Due to his recent rib injury, Gael Monfils couldn’t serve at his best on his debut against Milos Raonic. The French ended the match against Raonic with only 50.79% first serve in while his average over the last three years is 64.40%. Despite his poor numbers on serve, Gael played at a very decent level with 16 winners and only 10 unforced errors. Besides this, Monfils said before this event that his physical conditions should improve throughout the competition, which is a very positive indicator for this match.

This will be the 2nd career meeting between these two players with Thiem winning their previous encounter last year in Umag.

Despite Dominic’s lead on the h2h, Gael is a completely different player in 2016. As we mentioned in previous articles, Monfils is going through the best moment in his career with the help of Mikael Tillstrom. Due to Gael’s outstanding defense and Thiem’s inconsistency, our recommendation is for you to add Gael to your betting picks as the highest value play for this contest.

 Free Tennis Pick: Gael Monfils (-137)Best Line Offered: at BetVictor

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