Djokovic, Murray and Federer are triple-digit favourites while Nadal languishes in quadruple-digit obscurity. Is the Spaniard a contender for Wimbledon as he continues to find form on grass? We Grade the Big Four ahead of the 2015 Wimbledon Championships.
Wimbledon 2015 Betting Odds: Djokovic The Player To Beat
In a fortnight the ATP Tour descends on SW19, the luscious lawns of the All England Club with the 2015 Wimbledon title on the line. Novak Djokovic remains the odds makers' favourite to win the title, down for +175 tennis odds (earlier in the season) to +120 tennis odds at the conclusion of the 2015 French Open where he finished runner-up to Stanislas Wawrinka.
As it is, Djokovic is quite correctly favoured to win at SW19. The two-time Wimbledon champion is having a banner season with an Australian Open title in the bag and four Masters titles (Indian Wells, Miami, Monte Carlo and Rome). The only blotch on his season is a runner-up finish at Roland Garros, which turned the tennis betting markets on its head. Although we did pick Wawrinka on our tennis picks for the French Open final.
A Word On Wawrinka
Speaking of Wawrinka, he's trading as the fifth favourite on the Wimbledon 2015 odds board at +1400 tennis odds, which is understandable considering the cross-Channel double is one of the most difficult to pull off. In the current game, only Nadal (twice) and Federer (once) pulled off the feat. That said in beating Djokovic, Wawrinka might fancy his chances. Certainly, his confidence is going to be high as he looks to conquer a surface that hasn't always given him a lot of joy over the years.
The Big Four
The accepted Big Four amongst tennis enthusiasts and bettors includes: Federer, Nadal, Djokovic and Murray (in the order of number of Grand Slam titles won). It doesn't matter that Nadal is down to World No.10 right now, his lowest ranking in over a decade. The 14 Grand Slam titles to his credit speak volumes and belie his current ranking, and most tennis bettors in the know still count him amongst the veritable contenders on the major stage.
Odds makers, however, appear to have written off the Spaniard in Wimbledon betting markets. Immediately after his French Open defeat to Djokovic in the quarterfinals, he was downgraded dramatically from +650 tennis odds to +1400 tennis odds. It's true that Nadal's odds have steadily swelled in proportion to his struggles this season, his seemingly lack of confidence. But more than doubling his tennis odds does seem a bit of an overreaction.
Fact is Nadal isn't happy about his slip in the rankings. Immediately after his heartbreaking loss in Paris, on his birthday no less, he vowed to find the sublime form of his heyday and work his way back up the table. And if the previous week were any indication, he might be already on his way.
Nadal is coming off winning the inaugural, grass Stuttgart Open on Sunday. The upshot of which was his Wimbledon tennis odds were shaved down to +1200. This week, he's competing at Queen's club, part of his final Wimbledon preparation. Should he win this Wimbledon warm-up event, watch if his tennis odds don't drop back into the triple-digit range.
Andy Murray is enjoying a solid season and is coming off one of his best clay-court accounts. As a result, he's re-established himself firmly inside the Top 4 on the ATP rankings table and looks to figure as the second favourite at Wimbledon in a fortnight. It's a home event for the No.1 Brit and the scene of his Olympic Gold triumph as well as his second Grand Slam title, which snapped Britain's long drought for a home grown champion. Murray's odds are down to +300 on the 2015 Wimbledon futures odds board. He too is competing at Queen's club this week and a successful run there will correlate to much shorter tennis odds for Wimbledon, surely.
Finally, seven-time champion Roger Federer rounds out the short list of top Wimbledon picks at +600 tennis odds. Unlike Djokovic and Murray, who've had their tennis odds shortened, Federer's odds have swelled, albeit marginally so. He's up from +550 to +600 across most sports betting platforms. The last time Federer won Wimbledon was 2012, marking also his last Grand Slam triumph. Federer is preparing for the coming Grand Slam at his usual stop, Halle, Germany.
Tennis Betting Verdict
Wawrinka's recent win at the French Open see's him shed the moniker of one-hit wonder. It also elevated him into the ranks of credible champions as he beat an in-form Djokovic in the final as opposed to beating an injured Nadal at the 2014 Australian Open, which was a footnote will forever follow that title win. In any event, outside of the Big Four he's the only viable alternative for your early Wimbledon tennis picks. Still, pulling off the cross-Channel double is a tough ask and somehow we don't see it happening.
For our money, we're liking Murray's form and his tennis odds at +300 to win Wimbledon 2015. Of course, the best bet would be to go with an each way bet on Murray and one of the other three usual suspects: between Federer, Nadal and Djokovic is the lion's share of grand slam titles over the last decade. It's hard to look beyond that triplet isn't it?