Hello! Another round is in the books and we’re almost done at the All England Club for the fortnight. We had the right read but the wrong play supporting Hurkacz hit, as he shockingly straight-setted Roger Federer in his quarterfinal, whilst the over hit in Berrettini’s match comfortably.
For Friday’s slate it’s the Gentlemen’s singles semifinals up next, with Novak Djokovic taking on Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Berrettini taking on Hubert Hurkacz. Two cracking contests await, so without further ado, let’s dig into some Tennis betting!
Matteo Berrettini(7) vs. Hubert Hurkacz(14)
Friday, July 09, 2021 – 08:30 AM EDT on Center Court
Matteo Berrettini continues his surge towards the top with another impressive victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime. As expected, the big game of both players ended up giving us plenty of first strike tennis, with the Italian getting a little more out of his serve often proving decisive.
Eventually closing out the first set 6-3 after a good start, Felix stood up admirably to the challenge. In his maiden Major quarterfinal, the Canadian hung tough and battled back to take the second set 7-5, but the extra firepower and the big play in key moments saw Berrettini close out the win 7-5, 6-3 in the last two sets.
Hubert Hurkacz lived up to our expectations and then some in his quarterfinal bout with Roger Federer. The Swiss had an awful day at the office with some incredibly poor unforced errors, while the Pole was absolutely clinical. Serving well and shrewdly putting Roger in awkward positions, the winners were also rattling off the racquet like no tomorrow.
After riding an early break to win the opener 6-3, Hurkacz came back from a 0-3 deficit in the second to clinch a close tiebreaker. Past that point, the 39-year old fell away feebly and the 14th seed closed the match out dominantly with a 6-0 bagel.
Prior to facing Auger-Aliassime, Berrettini hadn't been challenged in this tournament. Hurkacz is back to playing the sort of scintillating tennis that saw him win Miami Masters.
With his big game up against the impressive Italian, a similar outcome as Berrettini had in his quarterfinal bout looks on the cards here, if not even closer still. Online betting sites give us a 40.5 total on this match, and we're siding with the over.
Novak Djokovic(1) vs. Denis Shapovalov(10)
Friday, July 09, 2021 - 10:30 AM EDT on Center Court
One player that's certainly been happy the way his draw panned out this fortnight is Novak Djokovic. The world no.1 and reigning champion has yet to face a top 15 player in his five matches to date, which would be the bare minimum to even challenge him.
Since dropping his first singles set on grass this year to Jack Draper in the first round, the 34-year old Serb hasn't lost another, and routinely swatted aside the likes of Kevin Anderson, Christian Garin and Marton Fucsovics in straight sets. In ridiculous form and at peak physical fitness, Djokovic will fancy his chances to add another Wimbledon title to his resume.
His opponent in Denis Shapovalov has always had the game to do big things, but a frustrating lack of consistency has often derailed him in the past. This has been especially true in the Majors, where a lone US Open quarterfinal appearance (last year) is the best among the pile of disappointing early round exits.
When the huge lefty serve and forehand combo is clicking though, and the unforced error count is kept low, Shapovalov can blow most players off the court. Aside from struggling with Philipp Kohlschreiber who took the 22-year old Canadian the distance in Round 1, Denis has impressed to defeat Roberto Bautista Agut (3-0!) and Karen Khachanov in consecutive matches.
This pair has played on quite a few occasions already, with Djokovic holding a 6-0 H2H lead. I don't think there's any doubt, just like the odds posted by sportsbooks imply, that the Serb wins this match. We're also passing on the guesswork of whether Shapovalov manages to win a set or not.
Instead, we're focusing on the prop markets. Shapovalov has served incredibly well all fortnight, and hit at least 13 aces in all of his matches, two of which were straight set wins over solid returners. Interestingly, the Canadian has also managed to out-ace Djokovic in all six H2H matchups, and averaged about 5 aces per set against the greatest returner of all time in the last four showdowns.
For Denis to be at all competitive in this match, he'll have to really go for his serve and pick his spots. It looks a good spot to cash a low total on the Canadian here, which has a great chance of hitting regardless of how many sets are played.
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.