ATP Valencia Final: João Sousa vs. Roberto Bautista Agut Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Sunday, November 1, 2015 2:24 AM GMT

Join us while we analyze the Iberian duel in ATP Valencia final between Bautista Agut and Sousa. Find out our top tennis pick for this match and the best sportsbook to play it.

João Sousa vs Roberto Bautista Agut (7)
João Sousa keeps his great year, reaching the 4th final in 2015. Sousa struggles to perform at his best week after week and, after an early loss in Moscow, the Portuguese is playing terrific tennis in Valencia. Sousa's mental strength is his best quality and this week has been able to overcome very good competitors by being stronger mentally on pressure situations.

Sousa is a very aggressive baseline player and this week he has been returning extremely well to serve, winning an average of 30.2% of service games. This numbers get even more impressive if we look at the players that he faced so far: Gilles Muller, Benoit Paire, Pablo Cuevas and Vasek Popsisil, all of them with great serves.

After losing in Moscow’s final last week, Roberto Bautista Agut made a good run in Valencia and will fight for the trophy this Sunday.
Agut showed a tremendous determination on his semifinals contest against Steve Johnson, recovering from a set down and saving six match points. It was a thrilling match that could have gone either way but Roberto was the strongest under pressure with some high quality shots on decisive points.

Agut leads h2h 2-1 but was Sousa who won the most recent match, this year at Umag by 4-6 6-2 6-3.
It should be a very interesting match between two great competitors with solid baseline games and terrific counter punching skills.
Roberto is the favorite for this match however the Portuguese should be able to create many problems to the Spaniard. There isn't much separating the two players and Sousa will try to win his first title in 2015, after losing the three previous finals this year.

For this match we’ll select the Over tennis odds as our top tennis pick.

Tennis Pick: Over 22 (-127) at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2953135, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,19,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]