ATP Tennis Picks: Australian Open 2016 Main Contender Analysis

João Mourato

Tuesday, December 8, 2015 11:08 PM UTC

Tuesday, Dec. 8, 2015 11:08 PM UTC

We’re just couple weeks away from the new season and also from the first Grand Slam of the year. On this article we’ll analyze the main favorites on men’s competition and also the highest value tennis picks for Australian Open winner.

Novak Djokovic will try to maintain his dominance after a tremendous 2015 season. The Australian Open defending champion is once again the main favorite for the first Grand Slam of the year. On this article, we’ll make a thorough analysis on the main contenders for the trophy.


Novak Djokovic -111 at bet365
The five-time Australian Open champion is the undeniable favorite for this event. Djokovic’s consistent tennis and remarkable defensive skills become even more effective on Australian Open Plexicushion slower courts. Since 2011, the Serbian has an outstanding 32 – 1 record on Australian Open, with his single loss occurring in 2014 against Stan Wawrinka. There are no doubts that Djokovic deserves to be the favorite, after dominating 2015 with 11 titles.

The price on Djokovic is quite decent; the world no.1 loves this event and has great chances to lift his 6th trophy in Melbourne.


Andy Murray +587 at Pinnacle
After losing four finals in last six years, Andy Murray will be looking for his first title at Australian Open. The slower court conditions also suit Andy’s consistent baseline game, but his record as underdog in this event is terrible. Since 2010, the British lost all six matches when priced as underdog, four against Djokovic and two against Federer.

Once again, Andy should reach the final stages of the competition but seems quite unlikely that he defeats Djokovic.


Roger Federer +888 at Pinnacle
After grabbing three trophies from 2004 to 2007, Roger Federer was only able to win one title – 2010 – since the court surface change on Australian Open from Rebound Ace to Plexicushion in 2008. These slower courts don’t suit Federer’s offensive game, forcing the Suisse to play longer rallies. Roger will be looking for a better performance this year, after losing to Andreas Seppi on third round last season.

Federer is always a player to keep an eye on, but doesn’t seem likely that he wins the trophy in such slow courts.


Rafael Nadal +1200 at William Hill
It was far from an easy season for Rafael Nadal, with the Spaniard struggling to play his best tennis after several physical problems. Despite the less achieved results, Nadal ended the year at good level and 2016 might be a good year for 14 times Grand Slam champion. Playing at best of five sets was always an advantage for Rafael, with an 87.22% career winning record on Grand Slams and 95.65% on Davis Cup.

The price on Nadal for the title is quite interesting; he has always been a tough match-up for Djokovic and must never be forgotten. If Rafael starts the season with a good performance in Doha, we suggest adding him to your betting picks.


Stan Wawrinka +1400 at William Hill
The 2014 champion, Stan Wawrinka, is always a player to keep an eye on. Since the US Open in 2013, the Suisse reached at least quarterfinals in eight of the nine majors he played. The courts in Melbourne also suit Wawrinka’s game style; the slower conditions give more time for Stan to prepare his powerful groundstrokes.

Wawrinka has been the hardest opponent for Djokovic on this event in recent years. They always faced each other since 2013, with three epic five sets battle. Stan knows how to bother the Serbian and there is clear value on his betting odds.


This are the five top contenders for the title, with Djokovic rated as the heavy favorite for the trophy. Nadal and Wawrinka are the two players who can create more problems to the Serbian, while Murray and Federer haven’t been able to bother the world no.1 on majors lately.

Don’t forget that the season starts at January 4th and you can find daily previews to profit when betting with your sportsbook of choice.

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