ATP Stuttgart Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

Joao Mourato

Tuesday, June 13, 2017 8:05 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 13, 2017 8:05 PM UTC

Join us on our Mercedes Cup tournament analysis that takes place this week in Stuttgart. Find out who is the undeniable favorite, as well as the main contender and the player to keep an eye on this event.

ATP Stuttgart

The Mercedes Cup takes place in Stuttgart with grass as the chosen surface for this ATP 250 event.

 Undeniable Favorite

The seven-time Wimbledon champion – Roger Federer – makes his return at the Mercedes Cup in Stuttgart after a two month and a half absence. Known as one of the best grass-court players in tennis history, Federer holds a brilliant 88.00% winning record throughout his career on this surface. Adding to this, the 35-year-old Swiss is going through a great moment in his career with an astonishing 19 – 1 record in 2017.

Due to Roger’s remarkable numbers in recent months, the world no.5 is the undeniable favorite to win the title at -139 at Bet365. Although we agree with Federer’s favoritism, it’s hard to find any value on his current odds after spending almost three months away from competition. For that reason, our suggestion is to avoid placing any bet on Roger’s outright due to the lack of value.

 Main Contender

After a brilliant start to 2017, the last weeks haven’t been easy for Grigor Dimitrov. Besides winning only 44.44% of the matches on the European clay-court season, Dimitrov failed to secure a place in the 2nd week of Roland Garros after a disappointing defeat against Pablo Carreno Busta in the 3rd round in Paris.

Despite his lack of success in recent months, playing on grass brings great memories to Dimitrov. However, the Bulgarian won’t have an easy debut in Stuttgart against the 2013 Wimbledon semifinalist – Jerzy Janowicz. Adding to this, Grigor may also face the 2016 ATP Stuttgart runner-up – Philipp Kohlschreiber – in the semifinals. Due to the extremely tough draw ahead of him and poor results in recent months, it’s impossible to trust on Dimitrov at this moment. Therefore, the best betting approach is to stay away from Grigor’s tennis betting odds to win the title in Stuttgart at +400 at Bet365.


Player to Keep an Eye

Playing on German soil brings the best out of Philipp Kohlschreiber. Besides his terrific 73.47% career record in his home country on grass, Kohlschreiber won 71.43% of his 7 titles on the ATP World Tour in Germany. At the age of 33, Philipp is looking for another successful run at the Mercedes Cup after reaching the final in 2016.

Taking a look now at Kohlschreiber’s campaign in Stuttgart, the 2016 runner-up started his journey on this event with an easy win over Marcos Baghdatis. Despite Baghdatis’ retirement due to injury after losing the opening set by 1 – 6, the former world no.16 played at an exceptional level.

Kohlschreiber returns to action this Wednesday to play against the 5th seed – Steve Johnson. Even though Johnson is never an easy opponent on this surface, the home favorite should be too strong for the American. With this in mind, our recommendation is for you to add Philipp to your betting picks to secure a place in the quarterfinals at -149 at BetVictor. Adding to this, Bet365 offers a very interesting price for Kohlschreiber to lift the trophy in Stuttgart at +1400.

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