Matteo Berrettini (3) vs Egor Gerasimov (q)
Matteo Berrettini has enjoyed a breakthrough year in 2019, winning two ATP Tour titles and reaching his maiden Grand Slam semifinal at the US Open. The 23-year-old is also among the main contenders to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals in London for the first time in his career. Looking now at Matteo’s campaign on this event, the No.3 seed got off to a flying start in St. Petersburg with a 6-1, 6-2 win over Roberto Carballes Baena in just 56 minutes. Berrettini did not face a single break point and won 88.46% of his first serve points.
The Italian No.1 will next take on Egor Gerasimov, who advanced to his first ATP quarterfinal of the season after an impressive 6-3, 6-1 victory against Adrian Mannarino. The Belarusian is having a terrific week, losing only one set so far in St Petersburg. Adding to this, Gerasimov proved decisive for his country last weekend, winning his two singles matches against Portugal in the Davis Cup.
Despite Gerasimov’s impressive results on this event, it’s hard to go against Berrettini at the moment. The Italian won 29 of his last 36 official matches on the ATP Tour and the conditions at the Sibur Arena suit his style. On the other hand, Gerasimov won only two games on his previous encounter against a Top 10 players. Therefore, our suggestion is for you to add Berrettini’s spread to your betting picks as the best line for this parlay.
Daniil Medvedev (1) vs Andrey Rublev (5)
Daniil Medvedev has been one of the most consistent players this season with an incredible 51-17 record in 2019. As mentioned in our tournament analysis, the No.1 seed reached his first Grand Slam final in New York, losing only to Rafael Nadal in a five-set battle. Medvedev is playing his first tournament after a very long summer and this will be a tough tournament for him. Daniil defeated Evgeny Donskoy in straight-sets on Thursday but struggled for consistency with 25 unforced errors to just 13 winners.
Medvedev will next face his fellow countryman and good friend Andrey Rublev for a place in the semifinal of the St. Petersburg Open. The former junior world No.1 needed three sets to get past Ricardas Berankis in the second round on Wednesday. Nevertheless, Rublev saved all three break points he faced and ended the match with 20 aces to reach the quarterfinals in St. Petersburg for the first time in his career.
This will be the third meeting between these two players. Medvedev leads 2-0 in their head-to-head with Rublev still looking to win a set against this opponent. However, Andrey is an extremely dangerous player due to his firepower and fighting spirit. This match should be closer than the tennis betting odds suggest, which makes Rublev’s spread an interesting line to add to our parlay.
Best Parlay: Total Odds (+160) with Pinnacle
- Berrettini -2.5 (-164)
- Rublev +4.5 (-161)