ATP St. Petersburg Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

Joao Mourato

Tuesday, September 19, 2017 3:01 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 19, 2017 3:01 PM UTC

Join our expert tennis capper for his ATP St. Petersburg tournament analysis. Find out who the main contender is, as well as the player to fade and to keep an eye on this Indoor Hard Court event.

ATP St. Petersburg

The St. Petersburg Open takes place in St. Petersburg with Indoor Hard Court as the chosen surface for this ATP 250 event.


Main Contender

Roberto Bautista Agut continues his sensational campaign in 2017. In addition to his sensational 41 – 16 record this season, the 29-year-old is currently on his career-high ranking as the world no.13. After two consecutive defeats in the St. Petersburg Open semifinals, Bautista Agut is trying to go a step further on this year’s edition.

Roberto is not only the highest ranked player in this event but also the main contender to win the title. BetVictor offers the best price on the market with Bautista Agut available at +300 to lift the trophy in St. Petersburg. Taking a look now at Roberto’s draw on this event, Philipp Kohlschreiber and Fabio Fognini are the two main threats on his half of the draw. Despite their undeniable quality, neither of the two should find the answer to Bautista Agut’s aggressive game style on these fast court conditions. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add the two-time semifinalist to your betting picks to win his first ever title in St. Petersburg.


Player to Fade

The world no.18 – Jo-Wilfried Tsonga – makes his St. Petersburg debut as a wild card and the no.2 seed. Known as one of the best Indoor Hard Court players on the ATP World Tour, Tsonga holds a phenomenal 70.83% career record on this surface. Moreover, the 32-year-old won 91.67% of the matches played on Indoor Hard Court in 2017.

Despite his brilliant numbers on this surface, it won’t be easy for the French to present his best tennis on this event after playing on clay last weekend in the Davis Cup semifinals. Adding to this, it’s also hard to understand Tsonga’s decision to compete on this event when there is a tournament taking place in Metz this week. For that reason, our advice is for you to avoid placing any bet on Tsonga’s outrights at +350 with Bet365 due to the lack of value and uncertainties regarding his motivation.


Player to Keep an Eye

Playing on Indoor Hard Court brings the best out of Joao Sousa. Known as one of the most aggressive baseline players in the game, the fast court conditions on this surface are perfect for Sousa’s game style. Besides winning his previous two ATP World Tour titles on these game conditions, the Portuguese no.1 is a former St. Petersburg Open runner-up.

Taking a look now at Joao’s draw on this event, the world no.57 won’t have an easy task on his debut against the unpredictable Evgeny Donskoy. Despite Evgeny’s unquestionable talent, the Russian is also famous for his inconsistency and his terrible 28.57% winning record throughout his career against top-100 opponents is a perfect example of that. On the other hand, Sousa never lost in the opening round in St. Petersburg with a phenomenal 75.00% career record on this event. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to take advantage of the value on Sousa’s tennis betting odds by placing a bet on the Portuguese to secure a place in the following round in St. Petersburg at +121 at Pinnacle.

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