ATP Semifinals: Nadal -2.5 is the Smarty Tennis Pick in Beijing

João Mourato

Friday, October 9, 2015 3:38 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 9, 2015 3:38 PM UTC

Just four players remaining in Beijing where Djokovic keeps dominating. Join us while we analyze ATP Beijing’s Semifinals top tennis pick.

Rafael Nadal (3) vs Fabio Fognini
Nadal’s resilience and fighting spirit are really remarkable, he’s far from playing good tennis however never gives up and finds a way to emerge victorious.

Nadal was set down in his quarterfinals clash against Jack Sock but managed to increase his level in order to turn the match. After being broken twice on first set and placing only 56% first serve in, the Spaniard raised his numbers on serve and wasn’t broken a single time in the two following sets.

Fabio Fognini reaches Beijing’s semifinals for the first time in his career after a three sets victory over Pablo Cuevas. Both players were extremely erratic, Fognini ended the match with 15 winners / 31 unforced errors while Cuevas was even worst with 9 winners / 41 unforced errors.

Fabio has been very aggressive on return this week winning 51.6% of return games which is really impressive on ATP.

Nadal leads h2h 5 – 3 however Fognini already defeated Nadal three times this year, the last one at US Open where the Italian came back from two sets down to claim the victory.

Was very good to see the way Nadal managed to turn the match against Sock, he was overplayed in first set but raised the level and was more consistent than the American. The Spaniard will be looking for revenge after the tough loss he had at US Open against this same opponent.

Fabio can produce some high quality tennis and has been in good shape lately however against Cuevas was extremely erratic. Nadal is a tremendous defender and will use those skills to explore Fognini’s inconsistency.

The price on Nadal is quite interesting (the highest ever against Fognini) and we’ll add to our tennis picks the value on Nadal spread tennis odds.

Tennis Pick: Rafael Nadal -2.5 (-113) at Pinnacle

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