ATP Rome Betting Analysis & Free Winning Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Monday, May 9, 2016 6:33 PM UTC

Monday, May. 9, 2016 6:33 PM UTC

Rome is the last stop for the top players before the French Open. Join us while we analyze the main contenders on top and bottom half of the draw, as well as the highest value tennis bets.

ATP Rome

The Internazionali BNL d'Italia takes place in Rome and will be played on Clay


Top Half of the Draw
Novak Djokovic continued his successful year in Madrid, winning the third Masters 1000 title of the season. The Serbian played at a very high level, losing only lost one set throughout the entire event – against Andy Murray in the final. Djokovic is looking to extend his winning streak in Rome, with 10 consecutive triumphs and 4 career titles on the Italian capital. It won’t be an easy path for Djokovic in Rome, with high quality players on his side of the draw such as Gael Monfils, Milos Raonic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer and Kei Nishikori.

After starting the clay court season with two titles in Monte Carlo and Barcelona, Rafael Nadal suffered another loss against Andy Murray in Madrid, this time at the semifinals. This is a special tournament for Nadal, with the Spaniard winning seven titles throughout his career in Rome yet, it won’t be easy for him to defeat Djokovic in a possible quarterfinals clash. Even though Nadal’s level in Madrid was below the one he presented in Monte Carlo and Barcelona, the Spaniard can never be underestimated on clay and he’s always a serious contender for any title on this surface.

The top half of the draw is extremely competitive and even though Djokovic and Nadal are the main contenders for the title, is hard for us to find value on their tennis odds. Djokovic is priced at -125 while Nadal is at +500 to lift the trophy, both at bet365.


Bottom Half of the Draw
As we mentioned in previous articles, Andy Murray is currently an outstanding player on clay. His record on this surface since 2015 is 24 – 3, losing only to Djokovic twice and once to Nadal, with all those three matches decided on the decisive set. Looking at Andy’s draw this week, the British has a great opportunity of reaching another final. Murray shouldn’t experience any problems on his first two matches against Mikhail Kukushkin and Roberto Bautista Agut. At the quarterfinals, Andy might face once again Tomas Berdych and like it happened last week in Madrid, the British player should emerge victorious. The biggest test threat on Murray’s side of the draw is Stan Wawrinka and the two can face each other in the semifinals.

Stan Wawrinka is looking for another good run in Rome, after reaching the semifinals last year. It won’t be an easy debut for Stan against his good friend Benoit Paire who has been at good level lately yet, Stan holds a good edge over Paire with a 6 – 2 lead on h2h and should overcome the French once again. On the following round another difficult match is expected against Juan Monaco, a very solid baseline player, but Stan’s firepower should be too much for the Argentinean. At the quarterfinals the toughest opponent that Wawrinka can face is David Ferrer; however, the Spaniard is still trying to find his best shape after several weeks away from competition due to physical problems.

We reach the semifinals where Stan and Murray should face and the two featured some remarkable battles in the past. Even though Murray’s 8 – 7 lead on h2h, it was Stan who won the previous three contests between them. We believe that one of the two players will reach the decisive match and for that reason, our suggestion is for you at add both to your tennis picks, with Murray priced at +450 while Wawrinka is at +1400, both on Ladbrokes.

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