Join our expert tennis capper for his ATP Rome tournament analysis. Find out who the undeniable favorite is, as well as the most valuable players to keep an eye on this clay-court event.
The Internazionali BNL D’Italia takes place in Rome with clay as the chosen surface for the last Masters 1000 event before the French Open.
The seven-time champion – Rafael Nadal – remains undefeated on red dirt this season. Therefore, it’s not surprising to see Nadal as the undeniable favorite to lift the trophy in Rome at -120 at Bet365. Despite his brilliant campaign on this surface in 2017, Nadal is not getting any younger. With the French Open around the corner, it won’t be easy for the 30-years-old Spaniard to maintain the same level after playing so much tennis over the last month.
Even though we agree with Nadal’s favoritism after his recent performances, it’s impossible to find any value on his current odds to win the title at -120 at Bet365. Having said that, our suggestion is to avoid placing any bet on this market due to the lack of value.
Novak Djokovic continues to search for his best tennis in 2017. Despite his defeat against Rafael Nadal at the Mutua Madrid Open semifinals, Djokovic is slowly returning to his best level. Adding to this, the courts in Rome bring great memories to Novak with the former champion looking for his 5th career title in the capital of Italy.
With Djokovic currently in 13th place on the ATP Race to London ranking, the Serbian can’t afford another early defeat on a big event like this one in Rome. Looking now at Novak’s campaign on this event, the world no.2 started his journey with a 7 – 6 6 – 2 victory over Aljaz Bedene. Even though it won’t be easy for the Serbian to reinstate his dominance in Rome, there is clear value on his current price to lift the title at +500 at Bet365. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Novak’s outright to your betting picks but only with a small stake.
Player to Keep an Eye
Juan Martin Del Potro returned to action in Rome after two weeks away from competition to attend his grandfather’s funeral in Argentina. Despite some concerns regarding Del Potro’s mindset after the sad news, the 2009 US Open champion started his campaign in Rome with an outstanding comeback against Grigor Dimitrov. As usual, Del Potro’s forehand proved decisive with the Argentinean ending the match with a phenomenal 1.89 winners / unforced errors ratio.
Taking a look now at Juan Martin’s draw on this event, Kyle Edmund is his next opponent in Rome. Despite Kyle’s undeniable quality on this surface, it’s unlikely to see Edmund emerging victorious from this contest. Having said that, Del Potro’s -1.5 Set Handicap at -105 at Pinnacle might be a great betting approach for this match since we expect a straight sets victory from the Argentinean.
Besides the value on Del Potro’s betting odds in the following round against Edmund, it’s hard to stay away from his outright since BetVictor offers an extraordinary price of +3300 for Juan Martin to win the title. Even though this is a long-shot, it clearly deserves a small bet due to the tremendous value.