ATP Paris Top Tennis Pick Day 7: Novak Djokovic vs. Andy Murray

João Mourato

Saturday, November 7, 2015 6:39 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 7, 2015 6:39 PM UTC

Djokovic and Murray will fight for Paris glory this Sunday. Join us while we analyze this thrilling final and select the best tennis pick for this contest.

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Andy Murray (2)
Despite losing a set against Stan Wawrinka, Novak Djokovic extended his winning streak to 21 matches. The Serbian had chances to close the match in straight sets but allowed Wawrinka to comeback from break down on second set. After losing the second set, Djokovic showed all his class to grab the third set by 6 – 0 and book a place in the final.

Djokovic already matched his record with five ATP 1000 events won in a single season, after doing the same in 2011, but the Serbian wants to rewrite history and claim a sixth Masters title in 2015.

Andy Murray will play ATP Paris final for the first time on his career after dismissing the 2012 champion, David Ferrer. It was far from a brilliant performance from Andy, ending the match with 26 winners / 34 unforced errors, however his terrific defensive skills were too much for Ferrer.

Murray’s numbers this week are very good, averaging 87.2% and 44.7% games won on serve and return, respectively. Andy has been extremely aggressive on return, hitting the ball very early with his backhand and going to the net behind that shot. Murray did exactly that on his match against Ferrer, winning 16 of 23 points at the net.

Djokovic dominance over Murray has increased in past two years with the Serbian winning 9 out of 10 matches. Andy’s single victory occurred this year in Montreal, with Djokovic struggling with a sore elbow. The last meeting took place couple weeks ago, in Shanghai, where Djokovic revenged Montreal loss with an enlightening win by 6 – 1 6 – 3.

Novak is priced as heavy favorite for this match and we believe that he should emerge victorious at the end, but won’t be an easy match for him. Djokovic has struggled to keep a consistent level and this time he’ll have to face a remarkable defender as Murray.

For this match we’ll add to our tennis picks the value on Over tennis odds, expecting a long match with one tie break.  

Tennis Pick: Over 22 (-108) at Pinnacle

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