ATP Paris Betting Analysis, Projections & Free Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Sunday, November 1, 2015 6:54 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015 6:54 PM UTC

Djokovic will look to extend his dominance on ATP Tour this week in Paris. Join us while we analyze the Serbian chances, the other top contenders and also the player to keep an eye on this tournament.

ATP Paris
The BNP Paribas Masters takes place in Paris and will be played on Indoor Hard Court


Main Contenders
Novak Djokovic has been absolutely unstoppable, the Serbian won 17 straight games and hasn’t drop a single set since US Open. This will be Novak’s first tournament in 2015 on Indoor Hard Court and will try to extend his winning streak on this surface, after winning the last 29 matches. Djokovic defensive game seems better than ever, in last two tournaments the Serbian won 54.3% of games when returning to serve.

Djokovic is the main favorite for the title and seems unlikely that he doesn’t win another trophy. Despite being priced only at 1.61 on bet365, the Serbian is play at an outstanding level and we’ll add him to our tennis picks.

Roger Federer made a good preparation for this event in Basel, where he won his 7th title in his home town. Despite loving the Indoor conditions, Roger never had much success on this event with just 1 title in 11 previous appearances. The courts aren’t very fast in Paris which isn’t so good for Federer game style when compared to Basel courts, but the main reason for the lack of success in Paris is the calendar management that Roger does. The Suisse always has a long week in Basel, not only for playing several matches, but is also mentally demanding to play in hometown with so many attention on him.

Federer is priced at 5.00 on bet365 and we advise not to bet on him due to lack of motivation and short preparation.


Player to keep an eye on
After pulling out from ATP Basel due to a sore right shoulder, Kei Nishikori took more time to prepare this ATP Paris 1000 where he was last year semifinalist. The Indoor conditions are quite good for Nishikori game style; the Japanese has his best career record on these game conditions with 71.6% winning record. Kei’s ability to hit the ball very early and play at a tremendous pace are extremely effective on this surface.

The first test for Kei should be in 3rd round against Richard Gasquet, the Japanese lost all previous 5 meetings against this opponent but has weapons to defeat the French on this game conditions. On quarterfinals, another very tough match is expected against Andy Murray. Kei is 1 – 5 on h2h but won the single match they played on Indoor Hard Court. Murray already said that his main goal for the rest of the season is Davis Cup and might not be with the best mindset. If Nishikori reaches semifinals things will be even harder with possible match against Federer and then Djokovic in the final, our suggestion will be to take Nishikori to win tournament at tennis odds of 17.00 on bet365 and trade if he reaches semifinals, or bet on him in every match he plays until that stage. 

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