ATP Nottingham Betting Analysis & Free Winning Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Sunday, June 19, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

Sunday, Jun. 19, 2016 7:00 PM GMT

Nottingham hosts the last tournament on the ATP World Tour before Wimbledon. Find out who are the main contenders, the player to keep an eye on and highest value tennis bets.

ATP Nottingham
The Aegon Open Nottingham takes place in Nottingham and will be played on Grass.

 

Main Contenders
It hasn’t been an easy season for Kevin Anderson, with the South-African struggling with several physical issues on his ankle and shoulder. Despite Anderson’s lack of rhythm, he can never be underestimated on this surface where his powerful serve is even more effective. However, not only is Kevin far from his best level, but he’s also in the toughest quarter of the draw. Looking at Anderson’s potential opponents, he might face Ivan Dodig, Fernando Verdasco and Steve Johnson.

All of them can produce a very high level of tennis on grass, with Verdasco and Johnson reaching this event after good performances in London, where they defeated Stan Wawrinka and Richard Gasquet, respectively. With such a tough draw and with Anderson still trying to find his best tennis, it’s hard to find value on the South-African to go deep on this event and for that reason, we suggest to avoid betting on his tennis odds for the trophy at +600 on bet365.

Sam Querrey returns to Nottingham after a terrific run last year, losing only in the final against Denis Istomin. Querrey is a very dangerous player on grass, where his huge service and big forehand are massive weapons. However, the American is also known for struggling to perform at a consistent level, which is usually fatal on these game conditions where the break chances are rare. Despite Sam’s inconsistency, the American has a great draw to reach at least the semifinals, with Marcos Baghdatis as the only major obstacle on his way.

Looking at Querrey’s possible opponents in the semifinals, Gilles Muller is clearly the most dangerous of them. Gilles shouldn’t experience any major problems until this stage of the competition and for that reason, we expect to see one of these two players in the final. Having said that, our suggestion on this bottom half of the draw is to split your stake between these two players’ outrights, by adding Querrey at +550 and Muller at +800, both on bet365, to your tennis picks.


 

Player to keep an eye
After a disappointing first round loss last year against Yen-Hsun Lu, Andreas Seppi will be looking for a better performance this season in Nottingham. Seppi loves to compete on grass, he can hit the ball very early and low which is very important on this surface. Andreas reaches this event after a good performance in Halle, losing in the quarter-finals against Florian Mayer. Looking at Seppi’s draw on this event, the Italian has a great opportunity of reaching the semi-finals, with Adrian Mannarino and João Sousa as the biggest threats on Andreas’ quarter.

Despite Mannarino’s recent victory over Seppi in Hertogenbosch, the Italian clearly raised his level last week and should get his revenge on this event. On the other hand, Sousa is still looking for his first victory in grass in 2016 and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him losing in the first rounds. Wimbledon is just around the corner and this is a week where usually Seppi produces very good tennis. Andreas has a 59.77% winning record on this surface yet, if we look at his numbers on the week before Wimbledon, his winning record increases to 68.00%.

With this in mind, we believe that there is clear value on Seppi’s outrights at +1600 on bet365, in a tournament where the Italian should reach the latter stages of the competition.

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