ATP Moscow Semifinals Tennis Pick: Cilic vs. Donskoy to Go 'Over'

João Mourato

Friday, October 23, 2015 10:00 PM GMT

Donskoy will be looking to take the next step against Cilic. Join us while we analyze the underdog chances and provide the highest value tennis pick on this match.

Marin Cilic (1) vs Evgeny Donskoy (W)
After needing three sets in first match against Denis Istomin, the defending champion Marin Cilic dismissed Andrey Kuznetsov by 6-2 6-1 to book a place in semifinals.

Since US Open, Cilic has been able to produce very good tennis with close losses against players like Kei Nishikori and Stan Wawrinka; however, he has also struggled to perform at a consistent level, losing several sets against lower level opponents. This week Marin has been quite sharp on return, winning 31.8% of games when returning to serve.

Evgeny Donskoy is having a tremendous week, the 25 years old received a wild card for this event and has been a very nice surprise.
As we said in our quarterfinals preview, Evgeny is a great ball striker and can produce very good tennis. This week Donskoy won three matches as underdog, agains Borna Coric, Ricardas Berankis and Teymuraz Gabashvili.
Despite not having a big serve, the Russian has been extremely solid on serve this week, holding 93.3% of service games and saving 77.8% of break point chances.

Cilic leads h2h 2 – 0 with a recent win at US Open in straight sets however the other match was played on this event in 2014 and Cilic needed three sets to overcome Donskoy.

Evgeny shot making skills are quite effective on this courts and he’ll play with nothing to lose. Despite the 0 – 6 record against top 10 players, Donskoy took a set from his opponents in 4 of those 6 matches.

Cilic is clearly overrated due to his easy win over Kuznetsov but this won’t be an easy contest for him. Donskoy loves to face these top players and with nothing to lose, he can be a very dangerous opponent.

Evgeny has been serving at very good level and we’ll add to our tennis picks the Over tennis odds on this contest.

Tennis Pick: Over 22 (-106) at Pinnacle

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