The Rogers Cup is an ATP/WTA combined tournament played in two cities – Montreal and Toronto. The events alternate from year to year between cities with the men playing in one city and the women in the other. This year the ATP Tour action will be in Montreal and that’s where we’re focusing our attention.
Four-time champion Rafael Nadal leads the field in Montreal after Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer’s withdrawal from the Rogers Cup. The No.1 seed took a couple of days off after his Wimbledon semifinal loss to Federer and has been practicing in Montreal since Friday. Nadal will look to defend his Rogers Cup title for the first time in his career and become the first player to win back-to-back titles in Canada since Novak Djokovic in 2012.
Nadal was handed a kind draw in Montreal and has a relatively easy path to the semifinals. Fabio Fognini is the highest ranked player on Rafael’s quarter but it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Italian losing in the early rounds of this tournament. Looking now at the other players on Nadal’s half of the draw, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the main obstacle on his path. Tsitsipas has enjoyed a stellar start to the season and defeated the Spaniard earlier this year at the Mutua Madrid Open. Nevertheless, Nadal is a very tough matchup for Stefanos with a 4-1 lead in their head-to-head. With this in mind, placing a small stake on Rafael’s tennis betting odds to lift the trophy in Montreal at +200 with Bet365.
Player to Fade
Dominic Thiem captured his 14th tour-level title and first on home soil at the Generali Open in Kitzbuhel. The world No.4 did not drop a set all week and proved once again why he’s one of the greatest clay-court players in the game. However, Thiem will only have a couple of days to travel from Austria to Canada after playing the final in Kitzbuhel on Saturday. The 25-year-old has also lost in the opening round of the Rogers Cup in all his previous five appearances on this event and will play his first hard court tournament since the Miami Open in March.
Thiem won’t have an easy task on his debut in Montreal against the winner of the match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Denis Shapovalov. The Austrian has an incredibly tough draw on this event with Daniil Medvedev, John Isner and Nick Kyrgios also on his quarter. For that reason, our recommendation is for you to fade Thiem on this event, starting with his opening match if he faces Denis Shapovalov since the Canadian has quality to beat him on this surface.