ATP Monte Carlo Betting Analysis & Free Winning Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Monday, April 11, 2016 6:28 PM UTC

Monday, Apr. 11, 2016 6:28 PM UTC

The best players in the world return to action this week for the ATP Monte Carlo Masters. We analyze the main contenders, the player to keep an eye on and the most valuable tennis picks.

ATP Monte Carlo
The Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters takes place in Monte Carlo and will be played on Clay


Main Contenders
After winning the Indian Wells and Miami Masters 1000 titles, Novak Djokovic will be looking to extend his dominance in Monte Carlo. The Serbian became the all-time leader on Masters 1000 titles, with 28 trophies achieved throughout his career. Once again, Djokovic is the main favorite to grab the title on this event and is unlikely to see him leave Monte Carlo without his 29th Masters 1000 trophy. There are some dangerous players on Novak’s half such as Gael Monfils, David Goffin, David Ferrer, Roger Federer and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga however, the Serbian seems unstoppable at the time and for that reason, we suggest adding Djokovic’s outright at 1.67 on William Hill to your tennis picks.

The eight-time Monte Carlo champion, Rafael Nadal, will be looking for his first ATP 1000 title since Madrid 2014. This is a very special place for Nadal, with the Spaniard winning 53 of the 57 matches played on this event. Despite Rafael’s recent retirement in Miami, the former world no.1 has been playing at good level and as we mentioned, this has always been a good tournament for him. However, Nadal has a terrible draw where he might face Dominic Thiem, Stan Wawrinka and Andy Murray before a possible final against Novak Djokovic. Due to Nadal’s extremely difficult draw is hard for us to find value on his price at 7.00 on William Will and although his great career record in Monte Carlo, we recommend to avoid betting on the Spaniard for the title.

Andy Murray always had the game to play well on clay courts, with a very solid baseline game, great baseline movement and defensive skills. However, to be successful on clay it takes more than the game, it requires a proper mindset and that’s where Andy struggled throughout his career but 2015 was a different year for him, with Murray losing only 1 of the 18 matches he played on this surface – against Djokovic at the French Open semifinals in five sets.

After two early losses in Indian Wells and Miami, Murray has to win points and nothing better than this event where he has nothing to defend. Andy shouldn’t experience any problems until the quarterfinals, where he might face Tomas Berdych or Milos Raonic. Neither of them is an easy match-up for Andy but the British should be able to overcome any of them to book a place at the semifinals, where he can face Nadal, Wawrinka or Thiem. With this in mind, we believe that the true value is on Andy to win his quarter and for that reason, we suggest betting on Murray until the semifinals.


Player to keep an eye on
It has been an outstanding season for Dominic Thiem so far, winning two titles in Buenos Aires and Acapulco. Even though Dominic’s ability to adjust very well to any surface, the Austrian performs at his best on clay courts where his kick serve and top spin groundstrokes are extremely dangerous. Thiem already featured some remarkable wins this year on clay, defeating Rafael Nadal and David Ferrer.

As we already referred, Dominic is on Nadal’s quarter and he might face the Spaniard in the 3rd round. Besides Nadal, Thiem might face Wawrinka and Murray on his path into a possible final. No doubts that this is an incredibly tough draw, but Thiem is playing at an extraordinary level and there is clear value on his tennis odds for the title at 26.00 on bet365.

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