ATP Masters Shanghai Semifinals Picks: Nadal vs. Cilic

Tennis pro player Rafael Nadal

Joao Mourato

Saturday, October 14, 2017 1:02 AM GMT

Saturday, Oct. 14, 2017 1:02 AM GMT

Join our expert tennis capper for his top betting selection for the ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai semifinals. He'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab this valuable bet.

Rafael Nadal (1) vs. Marin Cilic (4)

Rafael Nadal extended his winning streak to 15 matches after his three-set victory over Grigor Dimitrov at the Shanghai Rolex Masters quarterfinals. Despite losing a set in the previous round, Nadal’s serve remains unbroken in Shanghai. Adding to this, the 2009 runner-up ended the match against Dimitrov with impressive numbers – 32 winners and only 24 unforced errors. Known as one of the greatest defenders in the game, Nadal only allowed his opponent to win 59.38% of the points played at the net.

Regardless of this Saturday’s outcome, Marin Cilic already secured his career-high ranking next week with an unprecedented appearance on the top-4. As we mentioned in a previous analysis, the fast court conditions in Shanghai are perfect for Cilic’s powerful serve. Taking a look now at Marin’s numbers in his quarterfinals match against Albert Ramos-Vinolas, the 2014 US Open champion won 33 out of 38 points with his first serve. On the other hand, the Croatian fired an impressive average of 1.00 ace per service game in the previous round.

This will be the 6th career meeting between these two players with Nadal leading on the h2h by 4 – 1.

In addition to Nadal’s dominance on the h2h, the 31-year-old only lost one set on their last four official encounters on the ATP World Tour. The sportsbooks are well aware of the Spaniard’s edge over this opponent with 5Dimes offering only -435 for Nadal’s victory. Due to the low price on Rafael’s tennis betting odds, our suggestion is for you to add his set handicap to your betting picks as the most valuable play for this encounter.

Free Tennis Pick: Rafael Nadal -1.5 Set Handicap (-125)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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