ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai Semi-Finals – Value On The Underdogs

Andy Murray Fist In Celebration

Friday, October 14, 2016 8:44 PM GMT

Join us while we go through the two top plays for the Shanghai Rolex Masters Semi-Finals. We’ll provide a detailed analysis, explain why you should add this two bets to your betting picks.

Novak Djokovic (1) vs. Roberto Bautista Agut (15)

Roberto Bautista Agut continues his successful journey in Shanghai with the Spaniard reaching the semifinals of a Masters 1000 event for the second time in his career. In the previous round, Bautista Agut defeated the 2015 Shanghai Rolex Masters runner-up, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. Despite Tsonga’s outstanding record on this event, Roberto played close to perfection throughout the entire match. Known for his consistent baseline game, Bautista Agut ended the match with remarkable numbers – 22 winners / 11 unforced errors and 76.74% points won on serve.

After completing the career Grand Slam earlier this year with the triumph at the French Open, Novak Djokovic is clearly showing some signs of burnout. Since 2011 that Djokovic dominates the ATP World Tour, which is an absurd amount of time. Therefore, it’s not surprising to see Novak experiencing some problems, especially since the Serbian also admitted to be dealing with some personal problems. Looking now to Djokovic’s campaign so far in Shanghai, the world no.1 was very close from elimination in the previous round against Mischa Zverev, defeating the German by 3 – 6 7 – 6 6 – 3.

This will be the 6th career meeting between these two players with Djokovic leading on the h2h by 5 – 0. As usual, Djokovic is the undeniable favorite to win yet, it’s hard to trust on the Serbian at the time. We expect an improvement from Novak after a disappointing performance against Zverev however, the value is clearly on Bautista Agut’s side. With the Spaniard playing at such a high level this week, our suggestion is for you to add his spread to your betting picks as the best play for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Roberto Bautista Agut +5 (-111)

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Gilles Simon vs. Andy Murray (2)

As we predicted in our Shanghai Rolex Masters quarterfinals analysis, Andy Murray proved to be a valuable investment after covering his spread against David Goffin. With Djokovic experiencing some problems in recent months, this is probably the best opportunity in Murray’s career to reach the no.1 spot in the ATP World Tour ranking. When looking to Andy’s numbers so far in Shanghai, the highlight clearly goes to his first serve with the British winning 87.36% of the points played with his first serve.

Known for his outstanding defensive game and counter punching skills, the fast game conditions in Shanghai clearly suit Gilles Simon’s game style. Simon is looking for his second career apperance on this event’s final after losing in the decisive match two years ago against Roger Federer. Looking now to Gilles’ campaign in Shanghai, the French reaches this stage of the competition after an epic victory over Jack Sock in the third set tie break after more than 2:30 hours on court.

These two players will face each other for the 17th time in their careers with Murray leading on the h2h by 14 – 2. Both are famous for their tremendous defense and we can only expect an exciting contest with very long rallies. Despite Andy’s massive lead on the head-to-head, Simona is never an easy opponent, especially on this fast game conditions. Having said that, our recommendation is for you to take advantage of Simon’s betting odds by placing a bet on the French to cover his spread. 

Free Tennis Pick: Gilles Simon +6 (-133)

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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