ATP Masters 1000 Rome Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

João Mourato

Monday, May 14, 2018 7:59 PM UTC

Monday, May. 14, 2018 7:59 PM UTC

Join us for our tennis betting analysis for the ATP Masters 1000 Rome, where clay-court king Rafael Nadal is a heavy favorite. 

Undeniable Favorite

The Internazionali BNL d’Italia takes place in Rome with clay as the chosen surface for this ATP World Tour Masters 1000 event.

Seven-time champion Rafael Nadal is aiming to bounce back from the recent defeat against Dominic Thiem at the Mutua Madrid Open quarterfinals. The 31-year-old lost his world No.1 ranking this week but could regain the top spot with a victory in Rome. Despite his phenomenal 89.47% winning record throughout his career on this event, Nadal failed to win the title on his last four appearances in the Italian capital.

Looking now at Nadal’s draw on this event, the 16-time Grand Slam champion won’t have an easy task in Rome. Besides Dominic Thiem, the Spaniard might also face Novak Djokovic or Kei Nishikori before a potential clash with Alexander Zverev in the final. Due to the tough draw ahead of him, it’s impossible to find any value on Nadal’s tennis betting odds to lift the trophy at -225 at Unibet.

Former Champion

Novak Djokovic started his campaign in Rome with an impressive 6-1, 6-3 win over Alexander Dolgopolov. The Serbian produced one of his best performances since his return to book a place in the second round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia. Known as one of the greatest players of all-time, Djokovic needed only 56 minutes to overcome the talented Ukrainian. On the other hand, the former world No.1 didn’t concede a break to Dolgopolov with an impressive average of 0.75 aces per service game.

As mentioned above, Djokovic has been drawn in the same half as Nadal. Nevertheless, the Serbian No. 1 won three of the last four encounters against the Spaniard in Rome. Adding to this, playing in Rome brings great memories to Novak with the No. 11 seed winning the title in four different occasions. For that reason, our suggestion is for you to place a small bet on Djokovic’s outright at +1600 at BetVictor as the best betting approach for this tournament.

Player to Keep an Eye

Kei Nishikori advanced to the second round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia after a straight-sets victory against Feliciano Lopez. The 2016 semifinalist recorded his first win on the ATP World Tour since reaching the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters final last month. Despite Feliciano’s undeniable quality, the Spaniard couldn’t find the answer to Kei’s solid baseline play with 31 unforced errors against 19 from the Japanese.

Nishikori returns to action this Wednesday against Grigor Dimitrov. The Bulgarian hopes to rediscover top form in Rome after a disappointing defeat in the opening round of the Madrid Masters against Milos Raonic. However, the Japanese is a terrible match-up for Dimitrov with the Bulgarian winning only one of their previous official meetings on the ATP World Tour. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Nishikori’s moneyline to your betting picks at -127 at Pinnacle as the most value play for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Kei Nishikori MLBest Line Offered: Pinnacle

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