ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati Betting Analysis & Free Tennis Picks

Joao Mourato

Thursday, August 17, 2017 9:06 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 17, 2017 9:06 PM UTC

Join us on our Western & Southern Open tournament analysis that takes place this week in Cincinnati. Find out who the new world no.1 is, as well as the player to fade and to keep an eye on this Masters 1000 event.

ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati

The Western & Southern Open takes place in Cincinnati with Hard Court as the chosen surface for this ATP Masters 1000 event.


New World No.1

Regardless of this week’s outcome one thing is certain, Rafael Nadal will be the new world number one from next Monday after Roger Federer withdrew from the Cincinnati Masters with a back injury. The reining French Open champion returns to the top of the rankings for the first time since July 2014.

Despite his age, the 31-year-old continues to be one of the greatest competitors in the game. Nevertheless, the fast court conditions in Cincinnati are far from ideal for Nadal’s game style with the Spaniard winning only 60.00% of the matches played at the Western & Southern Open since his victory in the 2013 edition.

Even though we agree with Nadal’s favoritism to win the title, it’s impossible to find any value on his current tennis betting odds to lift the trophy at +125 at Bet365. Therefore, our recommendation is for you to stay away from Rafael’s outright due to the lack of value on his current price.


Player to Fade

The world no.8 – Dominic Thiem – continues to pursue his first career title in the United States. Despite his unquestionable quality, the 23-year-old Austrian only won 58.33% of the matches played on Masters 1000 events in North-America throughout his career. Adding to this, Thiem staged one of his worst performances ever last week in Montreal against Diego Schwartzman. Besides ending the match with only 28 winners and 67 unforced errors, the two-time French Open semifinalist failed to convert four match points.

Despite Thiem’s improvements in his opening match in Cincinnati, it’s impossible to trust on the Austrian at this moment. On the other hand, Dominic won’t have an easy task this Thursday against Adrian Mannarino. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to avoid placing any bet on Thiem’s outright at +700 at Bet365. Adding to this, fading the Austrian on this event should be a profitable stratedy due to Dominic’s inconsistency.


Player to Keep an Eye

Playing in the U.S. brings the best out of John Isner. After a disappointing defeat against Rafael Nadal at the 2013 Western & Southern Open final, the 32-year- is trying to go a step further on this year’s edition and become the first American player to win the title in Ohio since Andy Roddick in 2006.

Taking a look now at Isner’s draw on this event, the former world no.9 reaches this stage of the competition after two impressive victories against Viktor Troicki and Tommy Paul. In addition to his impressive average of 1.80 aces per service game, the 6’10’’ American didn’t allow a single break of serve to his opponents.

After Alexander Zverev’s surprising defeat against Frances Tiafoe in the previous round, John is now the main favorite to reach the quarter-finals in Cincinnati for the second time in his career. Having said that, our advice is for you to add his -1.5 Set Handicap at -110 at Pinnacle to your betting picks. Besides the value on Isner’s tennis betting odds in the following round, placing a small stake on the American’s outright at +900 at BetVictor is also an interesting approach for this tournament.

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