ATP Madrid Final Picks: Dominic Thiem vs. Rafael Nadal

Joao Mourato

Sunday, May 14, 2017 1:13 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 14, 2017 1:13 PM UTC

Join us and find out our top betting selection for the ATP Madrid Final. We'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab this valuable tennis pick.

Dominic Thiem (8) vs. Rafael Nadal (4)

The three-time champion – Rafael Nadal – continues his brilliant run in Madrid. Despite winning only 1 of his last 12 matches against Novak Djokovic, Nadal proved too strong for the Serbian in the semi-finals. Besides ending the match with a terrific 1.18 winners / unforced errors ratio, the Spaniard won 48.21% of the points on Djokovic’s serve. Known as one of the best clay-court players in tennis history, Nadal presents an astonishing 51 – 8 career record in finals on the ATP World Tour on the red dirt.

Playing on clay brings the best out of Dominic Thiem with an outstanding 85.19% winning record on red dirt over the last 12 months. Adding to this, the fast court conditions in Madrid are perfect for Thiem’s powerful game style. Looking now at Dominic’s campaign on this event, the Austrian reaches this stage of the competition after an impressive 6 – 4 6 – 4 win over Pablo Cuevas. Despite facing an extraordinary clay-court player, Thiem didn’t face a single break point throughout the entire match.

This will be the 4th career meeting between these two players with Nadal leading on the h2h by 3 – 1.

Despite Rafael’s recent win over Thiem in the Barcelona Open Final, the faster conditions in Madrid should benefit the Austrian on this match-up. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Dominic’s tennis odds by adding his spread to your betting picks as the most valuable play for this Sunday’s final.  

 Free Tennis Pick: Dominic Thiem +5.0 (-125)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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